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US ten year bond

  • Pepe le Moko
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2 years 3 months ago #1 by Pepe le Moko
US ten year bond was created by Pepe le Moko
I wrote a nice post about the ten year bond but the blog software rejected my post because it had "too many links". It takes me a long to to put together one of these posts. I spend hours making charts and putting my thoughts down so other people can read them. Please don't cut me off because I have too much to say. I use charts because they are the most concise way to get my ideas across. Mods please fix your site!

This is my post in full:
The following user(s) said Thank You: Michael Gebhart

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2 years 3 months ago #2 by ErikTownsend
Replied by ErikTownsend on topic US ten year bond
Thanks VERY much for taking the time to write a detailed and thoughtful post.

Please rest assured - we have no conscious intention of 'cutting you off' because you use graphs and charts; to the contrary, we treasure those contributors who take the time to provide such detail.

My guess is that some "security feature" of the forum platform which we were not even aware of until now is blocking you. I'll ask our webmaster to look into what went wrong and get it fixed ASAP. Meanwhile, please rest assured your fully detailed contributions are always welcome here!!!

Best,
Erik

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2 years 3 months ago #3 by ErikTownsend
Replied by ErikTownsend on topic US ten year bond
We have identified and corrected the problem.

Apparently, for anti-SPAM reasons, our forum system came with a default limit of 3 links per post. We weren't even aware of the limitation ourselves until you posted this concern. We increased it to 21 to solve this problem. Please know that we very much welcome and encourage content-rich posts in the future!

All the best,
Erik

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2 years 3 months ago - 2 years 3 months ago #4 by Pepe le Moko
Replied by Pepe le Moko on topic US ten year bond
So ... It has been more than a week and nobody cared to respond to my incoherent rambling post on the riveting topic of bond yields. I will assume that my questions were either too stupid or too complicated ( or both?) to answer in a blog post ( Either that or nobody bothered to click on the link.). If so I will leave this here so that future generations of Macro-Voice-ers can ... ignore it.

I was going to prepare a chart showing what I thought would happen to the 30 year bond, but it was based on the idea that Central Banks would try to maintain about a two percent spread between the 30 and the three month. I dug up the yield curve for France:


I noticed right away that France is not maintaining anything like a 2% spread. They were as recently as last year, but things are looking sketchy now. Check out how fast the situation is deteriorating in France. Switzerland is even worse.
Last edit: 2 years 3 months ago by Pepe le Moko.

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