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Sprott Precious Metals Watch, May 2017 - Trey ReikIn our mid-April report, we highlighted ten market variables we view as bullish for the gold price. During the intervening month, these factors have remained generally supportive, yet spot gold has traced out a 6.28% correction (from an intraday high of $1,295.61 on 4/17 to an intraday low of $1,214.26 on 5/9). More than anything else, we view gold’s pullback as a reflection of persistent strength in U.S. equity markets. It is no coincidence that as gold marked its 5/9 trading low, the S&P 500 Index surpassed the 2,400 level for the first time. Simultaneously, the VIX volatility index declined to rarified single-digits (9.56), approaching lows last recorded in December 2006. In short, equity markets, to gold’s reflexive challenge, have rarely been so complacent. What is fueling this record-breaking investor complacency? We would suggest market perceptions of risk have been all but extinguished by relentless provision of central bank liquidity.
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Trey Reik Senior Portfolio Manager
Mr. Reik has dedicated the past fourteen years to comprehensive analysis of publicly traded gold-mining companies, developing significant perspective on their intrinsic values under a wide range of market conditions. Additionally, Mr. Reik is a commentator on gold markets and monetary policy, including policies and actions of global central banks, global conditions for money and credit, and factors affecting supply/demand conditions for gold bullion. Mr. Reik joined Sprott USA in March 2015 as lead portfolio manager of the Sprott Institutional Gold & Precious Metal Strategy. The Sprott Institutional strategy is composed of separately managed accounts and involves transparent investment in publicly-traded equities with no lock-up provisions of any kind. Sprott Institutional portfolios hold no illiquid or hard-to-value securities, no private placements and no derivatives or options of any sort. For the six years prior to joining Sprott, Mr. Reik served as Managing Member of Bristol Investment Partners LLC, a registered investment advisor managing separate accounts composed exclusively of gold equities. Mr. Reik served as Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager to all Bristol customer accounts. From January 2006 through November 2008, Mr. Reik served as Strategist to Apogee Gold Fund, LLC and Apogee International Gold Fund, Ltd. Before joining Apogee, Mr. Reik was Founder and Portfolio Manager of Clapboard Hill Partners, L.P., a long/short equity partnership focused primarily on precious metal equities and financials. Clapboard Hill Partners launched during February of 2002 and merged into Apogee Gold Fund during the first quarter of 2006. Mr. Reik served as Senior Managing Director of Carret Securities, LLC (2000-2006) and held investment positions at Prudential Securities (1996-2000), Smith Barney, Inc. (1993-1996), William D. Witter, Inc. (1991-1993), Mitchell Hutchins Asset Management, Inc. (1984-1991), and Security Pacific National Bank (1982-1984). Mr. Reik has 34 years of investment experience. Mr. Reik graduated from Pomona College in 1982 with a B.A. in Economics.
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