finance

  • Jeffrey Christian: Precious Metals, Macro Drivers, and More

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Jeffrey Christian to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey discuss U.S. Dollar predictions and the range-bound outlook, Brexit contagion and potential impacts on gold and silver, rejecting old mental models with unprecedentedly low real and nominal interest rates, degradation of global political cooperation, Trump vs. Clinton implications for global markets and precious metals, and much more.
  • Jeffrey Snider: All Signs Point to Global Systemic Reset

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey discuss rich equity valuations despite an on-going earnings recession, the mainstream misconception and myth that the Fed provides liquidity, Milton Friedman's Interest Rate Fallacy and how long-run low interest rates demonstrate tightness of money supply, wholesale eurodollar system not tracking with prior exponential growth and demonstrating permanent monetary disruption, and much more.
  • Jeffrey Snider: Eurodollar University Part 1

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey look at the evolution of Eurodollars. They explore what exactly are Eurodollars and where do they come from? They look at money as interbank liabilities and the transformation of banking into a wholesale model.
  • Jeffrey Snider: Eurodollar University Part 2

    Erik Townsend and Jeffrey Snider are back for Part 2 of the Eurodollar University. Erik and Jeffrey discuss the case of the missing money and the transformation of banking into a wholesale model. They look and the radical monetary evolution and put it into context in understanding the great inflation of the 1970s.
  • Jeffrey Snider: Eurodollar University Part 3

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey discuss the Basel Accords, capital reserve ratios and risk weighting assets. The further discuss the leverage in bank capital, adoption of the JPM RiskMetrics and illustrations of the basic interbank functions.
  • Jeffrey Snider: Eurodollar University Part 4

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices for Part 4 of the Eurodollar University. Erik and Jeffrey discuss the failure of Primus and AIG back in 2008, the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act, Henry Paulson and Glass–Steagall. They further discuss the Eurodollar system going parabolic in the 2000s, Banks manipulating regulations and the big picture end game of the Eurodollar system.
  • Jeffrey Snider: Eurodollar University Part 5

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jeffrey Snider back to MacroVoices for Part 1 of Season 2 of the new Eurodollar University series. During this episode, Erik and Jeff discuss the lost dollar decade and put into context the global dollar markets. They further dive into the shadows of the great financial crisis and the liquidity crisis in the CDS markets.
  • Jeffrey Snider: Eurodollar University Part 6

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jeffrey Snider back to MacroVoices for Part 2 of Season 2 of the new Eurodollar University series. During this episode, Erik and Jeff discuss the collateral problems with gold during 2008. Jeff explains why the crisis was a liquidity risk, not a credit risk. They elaborate on the basic interbank functions, balance sheet capacity, negative swap spreads and the pro-cyclical positive monetary feedback loop.
  • Jeffrey Snider: Eurodollar University Part 7

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jeffrey Snider back to MacroVoices for Part 3 of Season 2 of the new Eurodollar University series. During this episode, Erik and Jeff delve in the federal reserve intervention, the structural changes in the Eurodollar system and the shift in bank views from riskless return to returnless risk. They further look into its impact on sustained economic growth and impact on global economies.
  • Jesse Felder: Equity Markets are in a Topping Process

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jesse Felder to MacroVoices. Erik and Jesse discuss drivers behind the everything bubble, and will quantitative tightening be a trigger? Impacts of market leverage, the Buffet yard stick and what is in store for the FAANG stocks.
  • John Greenwood: We’re at mid-cycle, not late-cycle. Bull Market has plenty of room to run higher.

     Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome John Greenwood to MacroVoices. Erik and John discuss where we are in the business cycle, the mechanics of what really drives the cycle and what comes next.
  • John Mauldin: No sign of imminent recession

    Erik Townsend welcomes John Mauldin to MacroVoices. Erik starts by asking John if this is the end or just the beginning of this small market dislocation? They further discuss drivers behind the back up of interest rates and ask how far can the 10-year go before something breaks and what are the risks? They proceed to discuss inflation, China and some of the surprises from the SIC conference this year.
  • Jonathan Tepper: The Myth of Capitalism

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jonathan Tepper to MacroVoices. Erik and Jonathan discuss if the market correction over, the outlook for U.S. interest rates and the short and longer-term drivers in the U.S. Dollar. They further touch on China, Europe, inflation, oil, and real estate in Australia, Canada and the United States. Finally, they discuss his new book, the Myth of Capitalism and delve into monopolies and competition.
  • Josh Steiner: Global Housing Market Analysis

    Erik Townsend welcomes Josh Steiner to MacroVoices. Erik and Josh discuss the macro drivers of the Canadian and Australian real estate markets. They look at Canada’s minsky moment, the new government policies and the impact on the Canadian banks. They move on to discuss the Australian one-cylinder economy, perspectives on the Australian construction boom and the high levels of home equity withdrawal. They further discuss the U.S. real estate markets and why there is still room to run.
  • Julian Brigden: Inflation, U.S. Dollar, Peak Central Bank Omnipotence, Further PM Weakness, and More

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Julian Brigden to MacroVoices. Erik and Julian discuss waxing and waning of U.S. Dollar cycles driving global crises, potentially materially higher headline inflation and wage numbers in 2017, peak central bank omnipotence, potential for sub-$1,000 and sub-$14 gold and silver prices, impact of U.S. Dollar repatriation on Eurodollar funding, and much more.
  • Julian Brigden: Secular Bond Bear Doesn’t Preclude Significant Rallies

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Julian Brigden back to the show. Erik and Julian discuss what is driving the bond market, demographics and the global excesses in the equity markets. They ask is the U.S. housing markets overpriced, where is the next trade in treasuries and is the stock market due for a big bubble bounce? They finally touch on inflation considerations in 2019 and what is the next move for the Fed?
  • Julian Brigden: Stock collapse under own weight or Fed/yields do it for them

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Julian Brigden to MacroVoices. Erik and Julian discuss what is on the horizon for inflation and is there a risk of runaway inflation? They look at today’s market and what comes next for equities. They discuss if the market highs in already and if bonds and stocks sell off, where does the money go? They look at the US dollar, the correlation breakdown between the USD and US bonds and where to focus the bond short.
  • Julian Brigden: Where we stand in the US Dollar Story

     

    julian brigden headshotErik Townsend welcomes Julian Brigden to MacroVoices. Erik and Julian discuss:

    • The difference between the DXY and the trade weighted broad Dollar index
    • The effect of emerging market fluctuations on the broad Dollar
    • Dollar pause or Dollar reversal?
    • The return of cyclical inflation in the US
    • Chinese capital outflows and the effect on real estate markets
    • How the Dollar story will affect precious metals
    • Emerging market equites
    • A lack of real cooperation between central banks
    • Global sovereign debt markets and what they are signaling about inflation
    • How a perfect storm of Dollar strength and a return of inflation will take away the central bank "put"
    • ...and bunches upon bunches more...

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  • Julian Brigden: Where we stand in the US Dollar Story

    Erik Townsend and Julian Brigden of Macro Intelligence 2 Partners discuss the Dollar from a multitude of angles, as well as emerging markets, precious metals, equities and global bond markets.
  • Juliette Declercq: “Dovish Pivot” is not a game-changer yet

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Juliette Declercq back to MacroVoices. Erik and Juliette discuss the impact of trade war on the global economy. They then discuss the PBOC, the Chinese monetary policy and the broader global growth outlook. They move on to touch on the U.S. Dollar, the U.S. monetary policy outlook and ask if the Powell dovish pivot a game changer?

MACRO VOICES is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only. The information presented in MACRO VOICES should NOT be construed as investment advice. Always consult a licensed investment professional before making important investment decisions. The opinions expressed on MACRO VOICES are those of the participants. MACRO VOICES, its producers, and hosts Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna shall NOT be liable for losses resulting from investment decisions based on information or viewpoints presented on MACRO VOICES.

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