Macro Voices Podcasts

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Keith McCullough to MacroVoices. Erik and Keith discuss:

  • Q4 2019 Macro themesWhat is next? 
  • Inflation or stagflation – is time to own gold?
  • What is next for the Chinese economy?
  • Outlook on US dollar
  • Equity markets – FOMO vs. deteriorating earnings expectations
  • Perspective on the market melt up
  • Labor share of income and corporate margins
  • Long short pairs trade in software industry

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Keith will refer to it throughout the interview. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Alex Gurevich to MacroVoices. Erik and Alex discuss:

  • Perspectives on the latest FOMC meeting
  • Treasury market - is it time to go long?
  • Next FOMC meeting forecast
  • Short term and long term views on Gold - is it time to buy?
  • Outlook on US dollar
  • Christine Lagarde and ECB - what's next for Euro currency
  • Outlook on global and US equity markets
  • Perspectives on the Chinese credit expansion

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout postgame. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Diego Parrilla to MacroVoices. Erik and Diego discuss:

  • Contrarian investment thesis – the energy world is flat vs. the anti-bubbles
  • Concept of Anti-Bubble
  • Monetary Policies without limits, what’s next?
  • Term premia, credit risk, equity risk and liquidity premia
  • Limits of negative rates
  • Gold, treasuries and insurance
  • Balanced portfolios and portfolio construction

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

 

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Diego will refer to it throughout the interview. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Stephanie Pomboy to MacroVoices. Erik and Stephanie discuss:

  • Late economic cycle – what’s next?
  • Perspective on the expansion of the FED’s balance sheet
  • Significance of the recent liquidity shock
  • Discretionary spending, revolving credit and retail sales
  • Inventories to sales ratio, outlook on profits
  • Divergence between corporate profits and S&P
  • Outlook for the 4th Quarter 
  • Perspectives on MMT
  • Is it finally time to short junk bond market?
  • Outlook on Gold

 We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Stephanie will refer to it throughout the interview. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Download the podcast transcript: [ Click Here ]

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SPECIAL POST GAME GUEST- Rick Rule

Strategies for participating in gold equities bull market

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Tian Yang to MacroVoices. Erik and Tian discuss:

  • Economic and liquidity leading indicators
  • Growth slowdown and risks of a recession
  • US/China trade war and its implications on the markets
  • Translating economic signals into market decisions
  • Impacts of Europe/ECB on global market system
  • Tail hedges and the risks in the market
  • Perspectives on global dollar shortage and the repo market
  • Possibilities of QE in Q4
  • Recent divergence in value and growth
  • Outlook on emerging markets

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Tian will refer to it throughout the interview. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

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SPECIAL POST GAME GUEST- Amir Adnani

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male silhouette.Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Eric Peters to MacroVoices. Erik and Eric discuss:

  • Has monetary policy lost its effectiveness
  • Shift in dominance from monetary policy to fiscal policy
  • Political drivers of changes in monetary policy
  • Generational and political gap and its impact on the economy
  • Outlook on equity market
  • Perspectives on the current bond market
  • Outlook on precious metals

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout postgame. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Harley Bassman to MacroVoices. Erik and Harley discuss:

  • MOVE index as a leading economic indicator
  • Reversal in bond yields and what's coming next
  • Corporate buybacks and the divergence of the S&P500 from the global economy
  • Is the US going to follow Europe into negative rates?
  • How the upcoming election may affect both fiscal and monetary policy
  • Possibilities of a bond market crisis and what to expect
  • Perspectives on recent breakout in gold
  • "The Opposite of Bad is Worse" and perspectives on negative rates
  • Buying opportunities in negative rates

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Harley will refer to it throughout the interview. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

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male silhouette.Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome David Rosenberg to MacroVoices. Erik and David discuss:

  • Perspective on S&P500's divergence from the global economy
  • Scarcity in yields and economic activity
  • Recent dislocation in value & growth index
  • Thoughts on the FOMC statement
  • Outlook on the bond market
  • Outlook on the dollar, gold and silver
  • Geopolitics and US/China trade war
  • Outlook on Canadian economy

SPECIAL POST GAME GUEST- Kevin Muirmale silhouette

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male silhouette.Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jeffrey Snider and Luke Gromen to MacroVoices. They discuss:

  • Current US dollar liquidity squeeze
  • Impact of changing Eurodollar markets
  • Understanding the global banking system
  • Do interest rates influence dollar liquidity?
  • What does the Fed do now?
  • China, PBOC and the dollar problem
  • Global dollar liquidity shortage
  • Future changes in global reserve currencies

 

 

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode's postgame segment, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout the segment. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

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male silhouette.Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Grant Williams to MacroVoices. Erik and Grant discuss:

  • Global negative yielding debt
  • US Treasury market and equity market
  • Outlook on MMT and monetary policies
  • Is the inverted yield curve an indicator for recession?
  • Is US stock market recession-proof?
  • Outlook on gold and other precious metals
  • "Unicorn" companies

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode's postgame segment, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout the segment. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

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male silhouette.Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Danielle DiMartino-Booth and Peter Boockvar to MacroVoices. They discuss:

  • Financial repression
  • China and trade war
  • Outlook on US dollar
  • Europe, the ECB and Chrstine Lagarde
  • Outlook on Gold
  • What happens next?

 

In Part 1 they discussed:

  • FOMC statement and historic rate cut
  • Are we in a currency war?
  • Risks of a recession in the U.S.
  • Main Street vs. Wall Street
  • How do risk assets react to a new QE?
  • Inflation risks moving forward
  • Modern Monetary Theory

 


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male silhouette.Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Danielle DiMartino-Booth and Peter Boockvar to MacroVoices. They discuss:

  • FOMC statement and historic rate cut
  • Are we in a currency war?
  • Risks of a recession in the U.S.
  • Main Street vs. Wall Street
  • How do risk assets react to a new QE?
  • Inflation risks moving forward
  • Modern Monetary Theory

Coming in Part 2:

  • Financial Repression
  • China and Trade War
  • Europe, the ECB and Christine Lagarde 
  • Outlook on Gold
  • What happens next?

 



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male silhouette.Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Daniel Lacalle to MacroVoices. Erik and Daniel discuss:

  • Is Trump starting a currency war with China?
  • What are the risks of competitive devaluation
  • Is the bond market signaling a bear market?
  • Global demand for dollardriving monetary policy
  • What risks and repercussions MMT poses on the economy
  • Outlook on yields and US treasury market
  • Negative yielding European junk bonds
  • Outlook on gold and its new correlation to the dollar
  • Outlook on emerging markets

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode's postgame segment, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout the segment. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

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male silhouette.Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Ronald-Peter Stöferle to MacroVoices. Erik and Ronald discuss:

  • Why gold is an important asset to own
  • Correlation between gold and bond yields
  • Brief history of gold
  • Outlook on the bonds and interest rates
  • Global De-dollarization and sovereign gold holdings
  • What does the momentum of recent gold breakout mean?
  • What effect does monetary policy have on gold
  • Correlation between gold and inflation
  • Why inflation will be a concern for 2H19
  • Gold as equity hedge
  • Importance of understanding the stock to flow ratio for gold

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode's postgame segment, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout the segment. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Click here to register for access to supporting materials.


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male silhouette.Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Mark Cudmore to MacroVoices. Erik and Mark discuss:

  • Outlook on global growth and economy
  • US growth outlook
  • US/China trade negotiations
  • Unemployment rates and recession forecast
  • US equity market and its effects on emerging markets
  • Factors that drove the recent rally and the outlook on the next two quarters
  • US treasury market, the yield curve and the US dollar
  • The decline in the US share of global GDP
  • Outlook on the British Pound and the Hong Kong dollar

SPECIAL POST GAME GUEST- Danielle DiMartino-Booth: Follow up on FOMCmale silhouette

  • Is this a midcycle adjustment
  • Will the ECB cut in September
  • What is the next move for Powell

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male silhouette.Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Dr. Peter Warburton to MacroVoices. Erik and Dr. Warburton discuss:

  • “Blowing Up the Box” – what is the policy box?
  • Factors that affect long term outlook for inflation
  • History of inflation and policy framework
  • Inflation is necessary for successful financial repression
  • What is causing the “policy box” to be redesigned
  • History of inflation targeting and inflation controls
  • Driving factors for inflation expectations
  • Is the recent breakout in gold a sign of inflation?
  • Outlook on next QE
  • Is stagflation imminent?

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this interview, as Erik and Dr. Warburton will refer to it throughout the interview. Registered users here at MacroVoices.com already received the download link in your research roundup e-mail. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

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male silhouette.Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jim Rickards to MacroVoices. Erik and Jim discuss:

  • Private debt problem and its breaking point
  • Progression of growing debt
  • History of US government debt to GDP ratio
  • History of the US treasury market
  • Cost of low growth and high debt
  • Drivers of inflationconfidence not money supply
  • Why Modern Monetary Theory is flawed
  • Why the current International Monetary System is unstable
  • Jim’s new boo“Aftermath: Seven Secrets of Wealth Preservation in the Coming Chaos”

 



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jessefeldermacrovoicepicErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jesse Felder to MacroVoices. Erik and Jesse discuss:

  • Divergence in market breadth
  • Theories on the length of this market cycle
  • Outlook on US dollar
  • Divergence in bond market
  • Outlook on bond yields
  • Unwind of institutional risk parity trade
  • Value investing strategy in overpriced market
  • Outlook on Gold & Silver
  • Facebook's Libra and cryptocurrency
  • Wealth inequality dichotomy and surveillance capitalism

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode's postgame segment, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout the segment. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

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JohnNetto HeadshotErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome John Netto to MacroVoices. Erik and John discuss:

  • What’s driving this market?
  • Where is gold heading next?
  • Key macro factors driving markets
  • Outlook on fixed income market
  • Risk budget vs. Sharpe ratio
  • Limitations of Sharpe ratio
  • Outlook on the Mexican Peso 
  • How to apply sentiment indicators to investing strategy
  • Trader psychology
  • Macro analysis using Netto numbers

  We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode's postgame segment, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout the segment. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

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male silhouette.Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Marin Katusa to MacroVoices. Erik and Marin discuss:

  • Outlook on Uranium
  • Breakout in gold and what does that mean?
  • Current situation and outlook on oil prices
  • Spike in energy prices and geopolitics
  • Perspective on shale oil over the next decade
  • Where are the buy levels for oil in the big picture
  • How to play the energy sector
  • Opportunistic investing strategy

 We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode's postgame segment, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout the segment. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

 

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MACRO VOICES is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only. The information presented in MACRO VOICES should NOT be construed as investment advice. Always consult a licensed investment professional before making important investment decisions. The opinions expressed on MACRO VOICES are those of the participants. MACRO VOICES, its producers, and hosts Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna shall NOT be liable for losses resulting from investment decisions based on information or viewpoints presented on MACRO VOICES.

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