Macro Voices Podcasts

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Dr. Lacy Hunt to MacroVoices. Erik and Dr. Hunt discuss:

  • Core thesis on interest rates and inflation
  • Constraints on zero bound interest rates in the US
  • How do you invest in this zero bound interest rate environment?
  • How to interpret FED policy on inflation
  • Perspectives on the FED bailing out the high yield market
  • Will the Federal Reserve be allowed to print money?

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout postgame. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome David Rosenberg to MacroVoices. Erik and David discuss:

  • General market outlook
  • Will the Fed put a floor on the stock market?
  • Is the government’s response to COVID-19 crisis leading to secular inflation?
  • Investment strategy to navigate ongoing market volatility
  • Bond yields - is there really a zero lower limit?
  • Impacts of COVID-19 crisis on emerging market equities
  • Impending friction between US/China and its economic implications

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

 

Rosenberg Research 

30-Day Free Trial to Rosenberg Research 

 

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout postgame. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Click here to register or login for access to supporting materials.

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Chris Cole to MacroVoices. Erik and Chris discuss:

  • Recap: What is Dragon portfolio?
  • How has dragon portfolio performed amidst the COVID-19 crisis
  • Consequences of government monetary intervention
  • Long-vol strategy: what worked and what didn’t?
  • What implications could secular inflation bring to dragon portfolio?
  • Commodity trend: what does it mean? 

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

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SPECIAL POST GAME GUEST: Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Eric Peters to MacroVoices. Erik and Eric discuss:

  • Was the market dislocation inevitable or was it caused by the Coronavirus?
  • Will there be even worse economic downturn due to governments bail-out policies?
  • Risk-hedge long-vol portfolio management strategies
  • The concept of trend following: how is it used?
  • What are the consequences of the recent record-setting monetary stimulus?
  • What limitations will central banks face if we move into a secular inflation environment 
  • What are the major implications of the current economic state?

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout postgame. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Click here to register or login for access to supporting materials.

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Josh Crumb to MacroVoices. Erik and Josh discuss:

  • Current opportunities in gold market
  • What is the range of possible prices for gold market
  • Gold-Oil ratio: will the gold prices get brought down with oil?
  • Important economic signals come from where people are hedging
  • Is oil price constraining the gold price despite recent central bank policy actions
  • What are the physical dislocations in the gold market due to COVID-19 impact?
  • Is there a disconnect forming between physical and paper price of gold?
  • Outlook on digital currency 
  • Possibilities of global digital reserve currency 

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout postgame. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Click here to register or login for access to supporting materials.

 

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Simon White to MacroVoices. Erik and Simon discuss:

  • This week’s unlimited QE by the FED and its implications
  • Comparison of exogenous shocks vs. recession
  • Are stocks and bonds both starting to sell off?
  • Are treasuries moving up due to the FED buying up bonds?
  • U.S. government’s reaction COVID-19 crisis and how will it impact asset markets

 

 

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout postgame. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Click here to register for access to supporting materials.

 

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jim Bianco to MacroVoices. Erik and Jim discuss:

  • Update on the COVID-19 
  • The impact of the virus on the economy and markets
  • Systemic risks to markets and impact on dealers
  • Has the FED put has expired?
  • Should the markets be shutdown, and what is the alternative?
  • Breaking of the stock vs. bond correlation 
  • Credit risks and the future impact on high yields 

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout postgame. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

 

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SPECIAL POST GAME GUEST- Kevin Muir

The MacroTourist 

Kevin Muir Macro Tourist: Governments Are Panicking 

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Axel Merk to MacroVoices. Erik and Axel discuss:

  • COVID-19 driving bonds to new all-time highs 
  • What’s contributing to US Dollar breakdown?
  • Why are treasury yields crashing and will it continue?
  • What is the threshold for zero-bound treasury yield?
  • Is it time to short high-yield and what are its risks?
  • Perspectives on possible bail-out for shale oil producers
  • Impacts of the COVID-19 crisis on the upcoming presidential elections
  • Outlook on gold and gold mining shares
  • FED’s emergency cut – what’s next? 

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout postgame. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Click here to register for access to supporting materials.

 

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jesse Felder to MacroVoices. Erik and Jesse discuss:

  • Is COVID-19 the catalyst that changed the direction in the market?
  • FED stimulus – how long will this bounce last?
  • How much downside is expected in order to take excess buying out of the market
  • Upside in the market caused by central bank response – what happens next?
  • Will inflation return in the near future and what are its systemic risks
  • Asset allocation strategy to accommodate the return of inflation
  • Current buying opportunities in value investing 

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout postgame. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Click here to register for access to supporting materials.

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Francesco Filia to MacroVoices. Erik and Francesco discuss:

  • 50-Year swap rate in negative territory
  • Why the US treasury bond is no longer an investment and its systemic implications
  • The upcoming daily liquidity crisis and it means for the market
  • Complexity-based systemic risk alerts and tools to manage risks
  • How to translate these concepts into actionable strategies
  • Why is flash-crash is likely to happen
  • Perspectives on economic impacts of COVID-19

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Francesco will refer to it throughout the interview. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Click here to register for access to supporting materials.

 

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Ralph Delguidice to MacroVoices. Erik and Ralph discuss:

  • What are some knock-on implications of the US Treasury bond?
  • Difference between Government money market funds vs. Prime money market funds
  • Why treasury and investment grade bond demand flows will remain solid
  • Declining German bunds in circulation
  • The growing USD funding gap
  • What are LCRs and why are they falling?
  • The US treasury demand impact of Dodd Frank
  • Knock-on implications as treasuries no longer being suitable as investments
  • What are the implications of systemic risks?

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Ralph will refer to it throughout the interview. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Click here to register for access to supporting materials.

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Chris Cole to MacroVoices. Erik and Chris discuss:

  • “The Allegory of the Hawk and Serpent”
  • Is 60/40 portfolio allocation strategy really the proven long term solution?
  • The law of cosmic duality in investing
  • Dragon portfolio – how can a portfolio be protected with a consistent return in any market cycle
  • What is the role of long-vol and commodity trends following have in dragon portfolio
  • Tail risk hedging strategy, gamma hedging activity and short-vol trades

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the document that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Chris will refer to it throughout this interview. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

 

 

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SPECIAL POST GAME GUEST- Emil Kalinowski

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss:

  • 2020 Demand growth
  • How oversold is the price of oil
  • Over-reaction to Coronavirus effect on world oil demand?
  • Flattening term structure in oil
  • Comparing Brent and WTI 12-month spreads
  • C.I. yield curve

 

 Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Art will refer to it throughout this interview. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

 

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SPECIAL POST GAME GUEST- Kevin Muir: Tesla's epic parabolic rise and blow-off top

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Julian Brigden and Dr. Chris Martenson to MacroVoices. Topics for discussion with Julian include:

  • Does liquidity inflation asset prices
  • Correlations between monetary policy and financial conditions
  • Repo not QE? 
  • Parabolic rise in equities not sustainable

Topics for discussion with Dr. Chris Martenson include:

  • Will nCoV turn out to be worse than the 2003 SARS epidemic?
  • What is Asymptomatic Transmission and R-naught; what are their significances?
  • How should we be thinking about the Case Fatality Rate for nCov?
  • How will nCoV impact the markets?

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

Visit the MI2 Partners website

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Julian will refer to it throughout this interview. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Click here to register for access to supporting materials.

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Russell Napier to MacroVoices. Erik and Russell discuss:

  • Why we should expect a credit crisis
  • What countries will be affected by the systemic banking crisis and what are its potential risks
  • What to expect for international capital flows 
  • MMT and “helicopter money”- will it lead to inflation or deflation? 
  • US duration risk – be prepared for the rules to change
  • Implications and ramifications of helicopter money
  • Negative interest rates - what to expect 
  • Outlook on gold
  • How to prepare for runaway inflation
  • Perspectives on US/China trade war 

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout postgame. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Click here to register for access to supporting materials.

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Grant Williams to MacroVoices. Erik and Grant discuss:

  • Civil unrest and global social degradation
  • Is inflation the key to the global geopolitical situation?
  • Unicorn companies – collapse of WeWork, is Tesla next?
  • Will MMT eventually lead to runaway inflation and what are its implications
  • Recent rise in gold – is it time to change strategies?

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

 

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout postgame. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Big Picture Trading Chart Book January 16 2020 

VIDEO: Grant Williams, Marin Katusa, Brent Johnson, Patrick Ceresna, Cal Everett - Big Gold Panel - Silver & Gold Summit 2019 

VRIC 2020 Keynote Presentation by Patrick Ceresna - Promo Code : MACRO100

VRIC Vancouver Resource Investment Conference 2020  

Katusa Research Special Offer: 42% off Marin Katusa's Natural Resource Investing Newsletter 

 

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Marin Katusa to MacroVoices. Erik and Marin discuss:

  • Outlook on gold - Is the recent breakout a false alarm?
  • How to manage market view vs. long term strategy
  • Update on Nevsun investment
  • Comparison between individual stock investing vs. GDX, GDXJ performance
  • Private placements and how it works
  • Investing in mCloud
  • Upcoming VRIC – what to expect 

Katusa Research Special Offer: 42% off Marin Katusa's Natural Resource Investing Newsletter 

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout postgame. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Click here to register for access to supporting materials.

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Dr. Pippa Malmgren to MacroVoices. Erik and Pippa discuss:

  • Knowledge doubling curve
  • Collection and monetization of personal data 
  • Ephemeralization- what does it mean and what are its consequences?
  • Rise of E-sports : is there an investment opportunity?
  • Catalysts that will bring central bank dominance over financial markets to an end
  • Privacy and voluntary total surveillance
  • AR: Augmented Reality – how does it work and what are its implications and consequences
  • Generation Z vs. baby boomers and underfunded social security
  • Autonomous vehicles – how will it change the future?

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

 

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss:

  • IEA’s forecast of oil glut in 2020
  • Perspectives on Mark Gordon’s thesis – age of peak oil to age of abundance
  • Unaccounted for oil
  • CoT chart – pick up in open interest, what does that mean?
  • Oil price outlook
  • Comparative inventory system 
  • Strategies for investing in oil
  • Reasons behind increasing DUC’s 

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Art will refer to it throughout the interview. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Click here to register for access to supporting materials.

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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jim Bianco to MacroVoices. Erik and Jim discuss:

  • Views on Zoltan Pozsar’s theory of repo dislocation
  • Perspective on the Fed
  • Is QE4 imminent?
  • Negative yielding sovereign debt - what’s next?
  • Perspectives on the next economic downturn
  • What is on the horizon for the bond market 
  • Consequences of negative yielding debt going to no-bid
  • Outlook on fixed income market

Download the podcast transcript: [Click Here]

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode, as Erik and Jim will refer to it throughout the interview. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Click here to register for access to supporting materials.

MACRO VOICES is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only. The information presented in MACRO VOICES should NOT be construed as investment advice. Always consult a licensed investment professional before making important investment decisions. The opinions expressed on MACRO VOICES are those of the participants. MACRO VOICES, its producers, and hosts Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna shall NOT be liable for losses resulting from investment decisions based on information or viewpoints presented on MACRO VOICES.

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