Macro Voices Podcasts

pippa malmgrenErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome back Pippa Malmgren to MacroVoices. Erik and Pippa discuss:

  • Perspective on the U.S./China Trade War
  • Is this about trade or the Korean peninsula?
  • Chinese strategy in the South China Sea
  • The future of Donald Trump
  • China and Russia relations
  • Future of hypersonic warfare
  • Trends in socialism and populism
  • Surveillance Capitalism
  • Outlook for the equity markets

 

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LukeGromenErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome back Luke Gromen to MacroVoices. Erik and Luke discuss:

  • Underlying motives & timing
  • Oil, Petrodollar, and global Treasury Holdings
  • Drivers behind the strong dollar
  • Vicious Cycle in US Balance of Payments
  • Timing the dollar endgame
  • How does the dollar bear market playout?
  • Entitlements and the trends in populism
  • Deflating the debt bubble
  • How does gold play into the story?
  • What are the range of possibilities for the debt crisis?

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SPECIAL POST GAME GUEST-  BRENT JOHNSONBrentJohnsonx125

  • Alternative timeframes for the dollar endgame
  • Why the dollar can continue to rise in the interim 

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Filia HeadshotErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome back Francesco Filia to MacroVoices. Erik and Francesco discuss:

  • How severe could a bear market be?
  • Complex dynamic systems
  • Short-term crash vs. extended bear market
  • Phase transitions and twin bubbles
  • Tipping points, crash hallmarks and butterflies
  • Why are the risks now?
  • Are treasury bonds going to be the benefactor?
  • How to play the short side of the markets?
  • Populism is the elephant in the room
  • Alternative monetary policy 

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Gurevich PhotoErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome back Alex Gurevich to MacroVoices. Erik and Alex discuss:

  • Bigger picture outlook in the business cycle
  • Perspective on the yield curve steepener
  • Outlook Treasury bonds
  • Where is the dollar trend heading next?
  • Quantitative tightening and easing in this cycle
  • Australian and Canadian economies
  • Outlook on Chinese economy
  • What is on the horizon for Japan?
  • What is in the future for Europe?
  • Where is gold heading in the bigger picture?
  • Interest rates as a predictor of equity markets

 

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Grant WilliamsErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Grant Williams back to MacroVoices. Erik and Grant discuss:

  • Are we in a cyclical bear market? 
  • Where are we headed next on treasury yields? 
  • Is the world turning Japanese? 
  • Escalation of tensions between China and Taiwan 
  • Update on how things are developing on Australian Real Estate
  • Risks of a recession in Australia  
  • Perspective on the rise of global populism  
  • Macron, France and the future of Europe
  • Outlook on gold and the yuan/gold ratio
  • What is the next move in the U.S. Dollar? 

SPECIAL POST GAME GUEST- MACRO TOURIST KEVIN MUIR discussing Modern Monetary Theory Kevin Muir 2019

The Macro Tourist - Everything you wanted to know about MMT (but were afraid to ask)

Watch Erik Townsend joining Patrick Ceresna and Kevin Muir on the new Market Huddle Show https://markethuddle.com/

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RussellNapierMacroVoicesErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Russell Napier back to MacroVoices. Erik and Patrick discuss:

  • Where are treasury bonds heading next?
  • Foreign buyers of treasury bonds
  • How does China effect global growth?
  • Tightening of Chinese monetary policy
  • Which central bank is dictating global inflation
  • Fed policy and the trend of monetary policy
  • Outlook for developed stock markets
  • Consequences of loose monetary policy
  • Is the decade long bull market over?
  • Is the Fed out of bullets?
  • Outlook for the U.S. Dollar

Russell Napiers: A Practical History of Financial Markets Course Details

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Charles Mcelligott Headshot 250xErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Charlie McElligott back to MacroVoices. Erik and Charlie discuss:

  • China Trade Collapse
  • Update on China Credit Impulse
  • PBoC Liquidity Operations
  • Bear market rally or continuation of bull market?
  • Fading the Fed’s economic optimism
  • Sequencing that could cause a force in on the equity markets
  • CTA Model Positioning across asset classes
  • Positioning in risk parity funds
  • Purge in equity fund flows in Q4 2018
  • Fear the steepener

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Christopher Cole Headshot 2019Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Chris Cole back to MacroVoices. Erik and Chris discuss:

  • Dissecting what happened in February 2018
  • Implicit and explicit short vol risk
  • Perspective on the next phase of the short vol unwind
  • Impacts of the reduction of central bank balance sheets
  • Link between volatility and the credit cycle
  • Will the Fed have the ammunition to come to rescue?
  • Perspective of the risk parity funds
  • Stock/bond correlation risk to pension funds
  • What does it take to make money long volatility?

You are strongly advised to listen to Chris Cole’s prior interview, The Alchemy of Risk before listening to this update
Click to listen to Chris Cole's interview back in Janauary 2018

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Marin Katusa OfficeErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Marin Katusa to MacroVoices. Erik and Marin discuss:

  • Update on uranium and uranium producers
  • Outlook on oil prices
  • Opportunities in the steel industry
  • Investing in the diamond industry
  • What is happening in the resource industry?
  • How to be a successful resource investor

Katusa Research Promo for MacroVoice Listeners

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YearEndShowImage2018Join Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna as they spend an episode reviewing the best market calls of 2018:

  • Calling the top of Bitcoin
  • Francesco Filia and Kevin Muir on the VIX ETNs
  • Chris Cole on VIX and system risks
  • Darius Dale on Chinese economy
  • Buy the dip calls in Q2
  • Russell Napier on the Emerging Markets
  • David Rosenberg on markets and corporate bonds
  • Jesse Felder on the FAANG
  • Charlie McElligott on liquidity
  • Keith McCullough on bond yields peaked

 

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DanielWantx250Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Daniel Want to MacroVoices. Erik and Daniel discuss:

  • Understanding system thinking
  • Perspective on the OTC derivative markets
  • Counter party risk in the derivative markets
  • System wide margin calls back in 2007-08
  • Financial aggregates – the world in perspective
  • Understanding the global financial situation
  • Market analytics tools

SPECIAL POST GAME GUEST- BRENT JOHNSON BrentJohnsonx125

  • Where is the U.S. Dollar going post FOMC
  • What is the outlook for gold
  • Where are the stock markets going next

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EdwardAltman250xErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Prof. Edward Altman to MacroVoices. Erik and Edward discuss:

  • Credit cycle outlook
  • Length of benign credit cycles
  • Historical default rates and recessions
  • Surge in U.S. corporate leverage
  • Non-financial Corporate Debt to GDP
  • Considerations on Global Debt
  • 2007 vs 2017 Health of High Yield Firms
  • Major risks going forward

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SPECIAL POST GAME GUEST- LOUIS-VINCENT GAVE - AN IMPORTANT CROSSROADLouis Gave 125x

  • Why a Liquidity Squeeze?
  • Havoc in the US corporate bond market
  • The end of Chin-America

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JulietteDeclercqHeadshot250xErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Juliette Declercq to MacroVoices. Erik and Juliette discuss:

  • Impact of trade war on the global economy
  • PBOC and Chinese monetary policy
  • Global growth outlook
  • U.S. Dollar and U.S. monetary policy outlook
  • Is the Powell dovish pivot a game changer?
  • What is in the cards for 2019?
  • Perspective on U.S. housing and its impact
  • Political turmoil in France and outlook on Europe

 Register your free MacroVoices account and get access to the chart book that accompanies the interview.

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JulianBrigden 250xErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Julian Brigden back to MacroVoices. Erik and Julian discuss:

  • What is driving the bond market right now?
  • Is it all about demographics?
  • The global excesses in the equity markets
  • Are the U.S. housing markets overpriced?
  • Where is the next trade in treasuries?
  • Putting on the steepener
  • Is the stock market due for a big bubble bounce?
  • Inflation considerations in 2019
  • What is the next move for the Fed?

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J ChristianErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jeffrey Christian to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey discuss:

  • Perspective on the gold and USD price action in October
  • Outlook for gold for 2019 and beyond
  • How does silver playout relative to gold?
  • Gold:silver ratio in perspective
  • Why investment demand has dropped and is it finally bottoming?
  • Drivers on the dollar, bonds and the equity markets
  • What is the risk gold could decline during an equity bear market?
  • Intermarket relationships of gold to other assets
  • Perspective on statistics from the gold and silver markets
  • Platinum and palladium outlook

SPECIAL POST GAME GUEST- Art BermanArthur Berman x125

Art joins Erik and Patrick to discuss the current bear market in oil and asking where is the right price for oil. Chart book available to registered listenered. 

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Keith McCullough headshotErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Keith McCullough to MacroVoices. Erik and Keith discuss:

  • How the investment landscape has evolved?
  • Marginal rates of change in growth and inflation
  • Why are deflationary pressures on the horizon? 
  • Global economic landscape
  • Staying ahead of the curve with the study of rates of change
  • U.S. real GDP and CPI forecasts
  • Key macro themes into the year-end
  • Closer look at the underlying drivers going into 2019
  • Are companies likely to experience a margin squeeze
  • Trouble for China in 2019

TD/TMX Options Education Day - Free to attend - November 21, 2018

Front cover 1 200

BONUS: Beyond Blockchain, The Death of the Dollar and the Rise of Digital Currency - Chapter 1 Preview

by Erik Townsend

The cryptocurrency trend of the past few years has continued to grow despite widespread predictions that it would just be a flash in the pan. Blockchain is suddenly everyone's favorite buzzword. But what if there's more to this story than meets the eye? What if Digital Currency is about to change the world in ways beyond our imagination? And what if geopolitical forces our politicians don't even understand have already inspired China and Russia to use Digital Currency to attack the U.S. Dollar's dominance over the global financial system?

Erik covers these subjects and more in his recently published book.Listen to a preview of Chapter 1 here.

For more information and to order the paperback, Kindle, or audiobook Click Here

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TepperErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jonathan Tepper to MacroVoices. Erik and Jonathan discuss:

  • Is the market correction over?
  • Outlook for U.S. interest rates
  • Shorter and longer-term drivers in the dollar
  • China and trade war escalation
  • What are the leading indicators suggesting for inflation?
  • How to interpret the drop in oil prices?
  • What is next for Europe?
  • Update on Australian, Canadian & U.S. real estate
  • The Myth of Capitalism
  • Monopolies and competition

 

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pippa malmgrenErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Pippa Malmgren to MacroVoices. Erik and Pippa discuss:

  • Opportunities on drone technology
  • The leaders in unmanned aerial vehicles
  • Data privacy in the firmware
  • Drones and risks in being used for terrorism
  • Leadership and the new paradigms
  • Speed of technological change and government
  • Situational awareness

MacroVoices LIVE - VANCOUVER 2019 - Early Bird Special Available Now

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DanielLacalleHeadshot250x

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Daniel Lacalle to MacroVoices. Erik and Daniel discuss:

  • Market correction or end of the bull market?
  • Fed’s responsiveness to changing monetary policy
  • Where are bond yield’s heading from here?
  • ECB and Europe’s position on Italy
  • Risk of high yield corporate credit in Europe
  • Emerging markets currency crisis
  • China, trade war, and the credit bubble
  • Gold and the Yuan correlation
  • Is the U.S. economy at risk of a recession?
  • End of global synchronized growth
  • Outlook on commodities into 2019

 

 

MacroVoices LIVE - VANCOUVER 2019 - Early Bird Special Available Now

SPECIAL POST GAME GUEST- Marin Katusa - Katusa Research Marin Katusa 125x

  • Is the gold breakout for real?
  • Update on Mohammed bin Salman and Saudi Arabia

Information about the Silver & Gold Summit in San Francisco October 28-29, 2018 - 30%off promo code: MACRO

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Steve Hanke 250xErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Prof Steve Hanke to MacroVoices. Erik and Steve discuss:

  • Drivers of the recessions over the last 30 years
  • Perspectives on Lehman Brothers failure
  • M4 Money Supply as the broadest measure
  • Dangers in quantitative tightening
  • Commercial banks drive money supply
  • Stabilizing the U.S. Dollar Euro rate
  • Understanding past hyperinflation
  • Perspective on Venezuela's hyperinflation 

Information about the Silver & Gold Summit in San Francisco October 28-29, 2018 - 30%off promo code: MACRO

Chart Book for this week's episode

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MACRO VOICES is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only. The information presented in MACRO VOICES should NOT be construed as investment advice. Always consult a licensed investment professional before making important investment decisions. The opinions expressed on MACRO VOICES are those of the participants. MACRO VOICES, its producers, and hosts Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna shall NOT be liable for losses resulting from investment decisions based on information or viewpoints presented on MACRO VOICES.

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