About Erik Townsend

hedge fund manager Erik Townsend

Erik Townsend is a retired software entrepreneur turned hedge fund manager. Throughout his career, Erik has capitalized on his ability to understand complex systems and anticipate paradigm shifts far in advance of the mainstream. Read More...

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jessefeldermacrovoicepicErik Townsend welcomes Jesse Felder to MacroVoices. Erik and Jesse discuss:

  • DeMark indicators and turning points in exhausted trends 
  • Looking at current breadth indicators
  • Considerations on share buybacks
  • Are we at the secular turn in corporate share buybacks?
  • Looking at the VIX short positioning
  • Volatility targeting strategies like risk parity
  • Is the market setting up for a crash or just a correction
  • Demographic catalysts
  • Real assets outperforming financial assets
  • Can inflation runaway?
  • Outlook on Precious metals

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this interview, and Erik and Jesse will refer to it throughout the interview. Registered users here at MacroVoices.com already received the download link in your research roundup e-mail. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register.  Once logged in, click “Research Library” and Guest Publications near the top of the page. From there you can download the PDF.

Get embed code for this episode. | For other embed code options click here. | Download the audio MP3 File (59.51 MB) . | Download the podcast transcript:   pdf Here (749 KB)

Keith McCullough headshotErik Townsend welcomes back Keith McCullough to MacroVoices. Erik and Keith discuss::

  • Outlook on the US Dollar
  • Is the reflation trade narrative rolling over
  • Bullish outlook on the US markets and the Nasdaq
  • Where are bond yields going?
  • Are the secular lows in bond yields in?
  • Outlook on Europe and the Euro
  • Bitcoins and cryptocurrencies
  • Outlook on the emerging markets
  • Is there more upside in precious metals?
  • Outlook on China’s debt and economy

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this interview, and Erik and Keith will refer to it throughout the interview. Registered users here at MacroVoices.com already received the download link in your research roundup e-mail. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register.  Once logged in, click “Research Library” and Guest Publications near the top of the page. From there you can download the PDF.

Get embed code for this episode. | For other embed code options click here. | audio Download the MP3 File (58.49 MB) . | Download the podcast transcript: pdf Here (529 KB)

2014 02 13 Axel headshotErik Townsend welcomes Axel Merk to MacroVoices. Erik and Axel discuss:

  • Mario Draghi and the ECB policy
  • UK Election and what is at stake
  • Future of the European Union
  • Perspectives on the Trump reflation trade
  • U.S. Dollar, fiscal and monetary policy
  • Understanding the pension crisis
  • Chinese Yuan devaluation
  • Future of Japanese Debt and Yen
  • Outlook on gold

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Arthur Berman largeErik Townsend welcomes Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss:

  • Perspective on OPEC and the 9-month extension on production cuts
  • OPEC’s goal to keep a floor under oil prices
  • Positioning of oil traders since February
  • Reasons for lower oil prices
  • Putting U.S. production into perspective
  • Where does comparative inventory price Brent and WTI
  • Inventory data and forecasts
  • Impact of capital markets and central bank policy
  • Early recovery from oil price collapse
  • Correlation of U.S. debt to tight oil
  • Term structure of the crude oil markets

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this interview, and Erik and Art will refer to it throughout the interview. Registered users here at MacroVoices.com already received the download link in your research roundup e-mail. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register.  Once logged in, click “Research Library” and Guest Publications near the top of the page. From there you can download the PDF.

Get embed code for this episode. | For other embed code options click here. | Download the   audio MP3 File (23.71 MB) . | Download the podcast transcript:   pdf Here (852 KB)

Arthur Berman largeErik Townsend welcomes Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss:

  • Perspective on OPEC and the 9-month extension on production cuts
  • OPEC’s goal to keep a floor under oil prices
  • Positioning of oil traders since February
  • Reasons for lower oil prices
  • Putting U.S. production into perspective
  • Where does comparative inventory price Brent and WTI
  • Inventory data and forecasts
  • Impact of capital markets and central bank policy
  • Early recovery from oil price collapse
  • Correlation of U.S. debt to tight oil
  • Term structure of the crude oil markets

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this interview, and Erik and Art will refer to it throughout the interview. Registered users here at MacroVoices.com already received the download link in your research roundup e-mail. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register.  Once logged in, click “Research Library” and Guest Publications near the top of the page. From there you can download the PDF.

Get embed code for this episode. | For other embed code options click here. | Download the audio MP3 File (36.48 MB) . | Download the podcast transcript:   pdf Here (852 KB)

JeffreySniderErik Townsend welcomes Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey discuss:

  • Understanding Eurodollars and the Eurodollar shortage
  • The real drivers of the US Dollar bull market
  • The flaws in the reflation trade narrative
  • Looking at the swap spreads turning positive
  • Inflation outlook
  • Connection between Eurodollars and gold
  • TIC US Banking Data – Caribbean, Europe, Asia
  • Impact of QE on Eurodollars
  • China and PBOC considerations
  • Absolute improvement vs. relative

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this interview, and Erik and Jeff will refer to it throughout the interview. Registered users here at MacroVoices.com already received the download link in your research roundup e-mail. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register.  Once logged in, click “Research Library” and Guest Publications near the top of the page. From there you can download the PDF.

Get embed code for this episode. | For other embed code options click here. | Download the audio MP3 File (63.73 MB) . | Download the podcast transcript:   pdf Here (758 KB)

RussellNapierMacroVoicesErik Townsend welcomes Professor Russell Napier to MacroVoices. Erik and Russell discuss:

  • Is the U.S. Dollar bull market over?  
  • Secular treasury bond bull market
  • The coming pension crisis
  • Inflation expectations
  • Outlook for precious metals
  • European exit contagion

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LacyHuntBio2017Erik Townsend welcomes Dr. Lacy Hunt to MacroVoices. Erik and Lacy discuss:

  • Are the secular lows in interest rates in?
  • Minsky vs. Kindelberger
  • Is the U.S. “Turning Japanese”?
  • Impact of demographics

  • Negative interest rates
  • Fed hiking into deteriorating economy
  • Dollar viability as reserve currency
  • European sovereign debt

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PROFESSOR STEVE KEEN headshotErik Townsend welcomes Steve Keen to MacroVoices. Erik and Steve discuss:

  • Insights into the French elections
  • The next move in the US Dollar
  • Is the bond bull market over?
  • Considerations on the levels of private debt
  • Geopolitics of North Korea and Syria
  • The economics of China’s debt crisis
  • Can we avoid another financial crisis
  • Are we at the next Minsky moment?
  • Housing bubbles in Canada and Australia
  • Considerations for the U.S. housing market 

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maa photoErik Townsend welcomes Martin Armstrong to MacroVoices. Erik and Martin discuss:

  • Views on the U.S. Dollar
  • The future of the European Union
  • Bullish case for U.S. stocks
  • Considerations for international money flows
  • Future interest rate trends
  • Looking at government debt
  • Geopolitics of North Korea and Syria
  • Considerations on China and the debt crisis

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DDB Headshot NewErik Townsend welcomes Danielle DiMartino Booth to MacroVoices. Erik and Danielle discuss:

  • Looking at the Fed from the inside
  • Shadow Banking System
  • Reflecting on the Global Financial Crisis
  • The culture at the Reserve Banks
  • What should be done with the Fed?
  • Can interest rates ever be normalized?
  • Considerations on the Underfunded Pensions
  • What needs to happen next? 

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Lance RobertsErik Townsend welcomes Lance Roberts to MacroVoices. Erik and Lance discuss:

  • Liquidity Driven Markets
  • Fed Balance Sheet Driving Asset Prices
  • Margin Debt Net Credit Balance
  • Margin Debt as a % of Real GDP
  • Total Liabilities & Equity /GVA
  • Total System Leverage
  • The Economic Deficit
  • Peaks in Real Profit Margins

If you want the download but have yet to register, here’s what to do: First, click on the red “Subscribe for free” button on the top right side of the home page, Then, near the bottom of the next screen, click “Register my free MacroVoices account”. Once you’re registered and logged in, click “Research Library” on the black menu bar at the top of the screen, then choose “Guest Publications”. You’ll see the download link near the top of the list, and you can also download guest presentations from any prior episode from this page. Going forward, you’ll automatically receive our Research Roundup e-mail when each show comes out, and it will include a convenient download link for any materials associated with that week’s interview.

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Juliette DeclercqErik Townsend welcomes Juliette Declercq to MacroVoices. Erik and Juliette discuss:

  • US Dollar, 10-year UST and the FOMC
  • Red string of fate ties U.S. to China
  • Perspective on the FOMC policy
  • Perspectives on the business cycle
  • Where is the ISM heading next
  • Impact on Trump’s tax and infrastructure spending
  • Surprises for the French election

If you want the download but have yet to register, here’s what to do: First, click on the red “Subscribe for free” button on the top right side of the home page, Then, near the bottom of the next screen, click “Register my free MacroVoices account”. Once you’re registered and logged in, click “Research Library” on the black menu bar at the top of the screen, then choose “Guest Publications”. You’ll see the download link near the top of the list, and you can also download guest presentations from any prior episode from this page. Going forward, you’ll automatically receive our Research Roundup e-mail when each show comes out, and it will include a convenient download link for any materials associated with that week’s interview.

Get embed code for this episode. | For other embed code options click here. | Download the audio MP3 File (25.37 MB) . | Download the podcast transcript:   pdf Here (527 KB)

julian brigden headshotErik Townsend welcomes Julian Brigden to MacroVoices. Erik and Julian discuss:

  • U.S. Dollar impact on the U.S. shale bubble
  • Peak acceleration in ISM manufacturing
  • Headline inflation peaking
  • Fed tightening going to start to impact data
  • Bond shorting opportunity is over
  • Risks to the reflationary trades
  • Wage trends in the U.S.
  • Perspective on European growth and inflation
  • Relative pricing between U.S. and European bunds

If you want the download but have yet to register, here’s what to do: First, click on the red “Subscribe for free” button on the top right side of the home page, Then, near the bottom of the next screen, click “Register my free MacroVoices account”. Once you’re registered and logged in, click “Research Library” on the black menu bar at the top of the screen, then choose “Guest Publications”. You’ll see the download link near the top of the list, and you can also download guest presentations from any prior episode from this page. Going forward, you’ll automatically receive our Research Roundup e-mail when each show comes out, and it will include a convenient download link for any materials associated with that week’s interview.

Get embed code for this episode. | For other embed code options click here. | Download the audio MP3 File (30.84 MB) . | Download the podcast transcript:   pdf Here (555 KB)

J ChristianErik Townsend welcomes Jeffrey Christian to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeff discuss:

  • Outlook on the US Dollar
  • Secular bullish call on gold
  • Outlook on silver
  • Current demand for physical gold
  • Platinum and palladium
  • Current fundamentals on lithium
  • Macro outlook on the economy and stock markets
  • Views on the European Union
  • Outlook for China and Russia

Get embed code for this episode. | For other embed code options click here. | Download the audio MP3 File (32.97 MB) . | Download the podcast transcript:   pdf Here (545 KB)

TepperErik Townsend welcomes Jonathan Tepper to MacroVoices. Erik and Jonathan discuss:

  • Excess liquidity and the impact to equities, emerging markets and commodity prices
  • Inflation risks
  • The real end game and runaway inflation
  • Comments on the 35-year secular bull market in sovereign bonds and the yield curve
  • Australia – the housing bubble in full bloom
  • Perspectives on China and Japan
  • Outlook for the U.S. Dollar
  • Variant Perception's perspective on macro analysis

Get embed code for this episode. | For other embed code options click here. | Download the audio MP3 File (32.00 MB) . | Download the podcast transcript:   pdf Here (543 KB)

Arthur Berman largeErik Townsend welcomes Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss:

  • Catalyst for the current decline in oil
  • Lack of confidence in OPEC
  • Record levels of oil inventories
  • Comparative inventories to past years
  • World production surplus
  • Global liquids consumption growth
  • OECD incremental liquids Inventory
  • EIA U.S. crude oil forecast

We strongly recommend that you download thechart bookthat accompanies this interview. Erik and Art will refer to it throughout the interview. Registered users here at MacroVoices.com already received the download link in your research roundup e-mail. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register.  Once logged in, click “Research Library” and Guest Publications near the top of the page. From there you can download the PDF.

Get embed code for this episode. | For other embed code options click here. | Download the audio MP3 File (32.75 MB) . | Download the podcast transcript:   pdf Here (551 KB)

Grant WilliamsErik Townsend welcomes Grant Williams to MacroVoices. Erik and Grant discuss:

  • The rise and drivers of populism
  • Trump and the animal spirits driving the markets
  • Trump’s stance on ISIS
  • Peak optimism
  • Is there a crisis in China?
  • Gold/copper ratio
  • Stagflation
  • U.S. dollar outlook
  • Is the 35 year bond bull market over? 

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Louis 201211Erik Townsend welcomes Louis-Vincent Gave to MacroVoices. Erik and Louis discuss:

  • China Reflation Trade
  • Is Chinese Growth Rolling Over?
  • Will Trump Get a Weaker US Dollar?
  • Brexit and the Future of the European Union
  • Philippines and Rodrigo Duterte
  • Rise of the Chinese Empire
  • India and the Indian Currency System
  • Opinions on Stocks and Bonds
  • Investment Themes for 2017
  • Risks for 2017

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DSC06699 2Erik Townsend welcomes Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeff discuss:

  • Understanding the Eurodollar Money Market 
  • Swap Spreads and Interbank Hierarchy
  • Dimensions in the Eurodollar Futures and Eurodollar Money Supply
  • Why does the World Need So Many Dollars?
  • How the Eurodollar market supplanted the Bretton Woods System
  • U.S. Dollar and the Dollar Funding Gap
  • Reflation Trade Debunked
  • Interest Rates Trapped
  • Failing Global Currency System

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this interview, and Erik and Jeff will refer to it throughout the interview. Registered users here at MacroVoices.com already received the download link in your research roundup e-mail. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register.  Once logged in, click “Research Library”  and Guest Publications near the top of the page. From there you can download the PDF.

Get embed code for this episode. | For other embed code options click here. | Download the audio MP3 File (32.29 MB) . | Download the podcast transcript:    pdf Here (557 KB)

MACRO VOICES is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only. The information presented in MACRO VOICES should NOT be construed as investment advice. Always consult a licensed investment professional before making important investment decisions. The opinions expressed on MACRO VOICES are those of the participants. MACRO VOICES, its producers, and hosts Erik Townsend and Nathan Egger shall NOT be liable for losses resulting from investment decisions based on information or viewpoints presented on MACRO VOICES.

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