macro investing

  • All-Stars #36 Julian Brigden: Pensions, Curve Inversions, and 10yr outlook

    All-Star Julian Brigden on the implications of deflation for the Pension system, whether a recession is possible without a yield curve inversion, and the 10yr yield outlook. Link: http://bit.ly/2y7edTn
  • John Llewellyn: Economic consequences of the Brexit referendum

    Erik Townsend welcomes John Llewellyn to MacroVoices. Erik and John discuss how the Brexit vote is simply a prelude to a highly uncertain process, polling accuracy and the distinct possibility of Britain exiting the EU, the near-term economic impacts of Brexit on the British economy including lower foreign-direct investment and trade re-negotiations, and much more.
  • Aaron Chan - Works of [Ch]Art: Mall REITs Mauled

  • Alex Gurevich: Interest rate momentum is an excellent predictor of equity market performance

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome back Alex Gurevich to MacroVoices. Erik and Alex discuss the bigger picture outlook on the business cycle, the yield curve, Treasury bonds and the dollar. They further discuss the current quantitative tightening cycle and when the Fed will again begin easing. They then go around the world discussing the global economies in Australia, Canada, China Japan and Europe. The end with a discussion on where is gold heading in the bigger picture and interest rates momentum as a predictor of equity markets.
  • Alex Gurevich: ZERO evidence the secular bull market in bonds is over

    Erik Townsend welcomes Alex Gurevich to MacroVoices. Erik and Alex discuss Mario Draghi and ECB, his short Swiss Franc positioning and the US Dollar outlook. They further discuss trump reflation, equity markets and his views on secular interest rates and inflation. Further discussed China, Japan and the outlook on the Canadian economy.
  • All-Star Danielle DiMartino-Booth: Deflation is the name of the game unless/until helicopter money hits the stage

    Today’s MacroVoices All-Star Danielle DiMartino Booth says deflation, lower commodity prices, and lower bond yields will be the theme going forward unless/until the political process brings MMT or other “Helicopter Money” into the equation.
  • All-Star Kevin Muir says the market is way ahead of the Fed in pricing in easing!

    Kevin says the market is way ahead of the Fed in pricing in accommodative monetary policy and thinks bond longs betting on economic collapse will be disappointed, and explains why shorting an INDEX is the wrong way to play a bearish view on U.S./China trade negotiations
  • All-Stars #17 Danielle DiMartino Booth: The Fed is setting the stage for NIRP!

    All-Star Danielle DiMartino Booth is on fire this week! Danielle says the Fed's language change at the Chicago conference can only mean one thing: They're getting markets ready for NIRP. Not ZIRP, but NIRP!
  • All-Stars #37 Dr. Pippa Malmgren: Iran, Trump News Network, and Facebook’s $5bn fine

    All-Star Dr. Pippa Malmgren weighs in on Iran geopolitical risks, updates her thesis on President Trump having ambitions for a news network after the white house, and comments on Facebook’s $5bn fine. Link: http://bit.ly/2ZffYK1
  • All-Stars #48 Dr. Pippa Malmgren: It’s not really 1929. Don’t panic.

    All-Star Dr. Pippa Malmgren is back. She disagrees with the many market observers who believe we’re on the edge of the cliff, and offers bullish arguments for markets & the economy. Link: http://bit.ly/2ZkMaz4
  • All-Stars #59 Julian Brigden: Can the Fed still save us from recession?

    MI2 Partners founder Julian Brigden is back with an update on recession outlook, fixed income, and the geopolitical events of last weekend. Link: http://bit.ly/2kntsUS
  • An Interview with Legendary Investor Jim Rogers

    Erik Townsend welcomes legendary investor Jim Rogers as MacroVoices’ first feature interview. Erik and Jim discuss China, falling currencies around the world, the coming market turmoil and its tactical bullish implications for the U.S. dollar, even in the face of longer-term bearish forces that will also affect the dollar, U.S. monetary policy and the failure of Quantitative Easing, weakness in the banking sector despite massive injections of liquidity, the 35-year bond bull market and its eventual end, current trouble in high-yield credit (junk bonds), whether the recent breakout in gold prices is sustainable or a parabolic surge that could lead to a blow-off top, U.S. debt levels, implications of the upcoming U.S. Presidential election on markets, sovereign debt crises, de-dollarization, and much more.
  • Anatomy of the U.S. Dollar End Game Part 1 of 5

    MacroVoices and Erik Townsend welcome Jeffrey Snider, Mark Yusko and Luke Gromen to the show. In Part 1 of the 5 Part Series, Jeffrey Snider presents perspectives on where we are today. Looks at how Russia and Brazil dealt with US dollar funding through derivatives and FX repo auctions. They further discuss China’s management of the U.S. dollar and the evolving Chinese response.
  • Anatomy of the U.S. Dollar End Game Part 2 of 5

    MacroVoices and Erik Townsend welcome Jeffrey Snider, Mark Yusko and Luke Gromen to the show. In Part 2 of the 5 Part Series, Jeffrey Snider explains the post 2007 U.S. Dollar shortage and how the dollar scarcity play out? They move on to discuss the problems facing China at the moment and perspective on the China gold buying. They ask if American politicians even know there is a problem?
  • Art Berman: Labor Day Weekend Oil Special

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss looking beyond absolute inventory numbers and gleaning insights from comparative inventories, continued time-spread compression reflecting producer hedging or lack of concern for a storage crisis, feedback loop of insanity in inventory builds and production, and much more.
  • Art Berman: Oil Fundamentals Deep Dive Redux

    Erik interviews petroleum geologist Art Berman in his second appearance on MacroVoices as they revisit some of their fundamental analysis from Episode 3 back in February
  • Art Berman: Oil Fundamentals Deep Dive Redux

    Arthur Berman largeErik Townsend welcomes Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss:

    • Their calls made on Episode 3 of MacroVoices in February
    • Which fundamental factors have changed since then
    • The damage done to the supply of capital available to shale drillers in spite of oil rising to $50
    • Current US production levels and where they may be headed from here
    • Prices moving up in the face of dangerously high inventory levels at Cushing, OK
    • Using Comparitive Inventories to predict price movements
    • The 'funny' accounting practiced by shale drilling companies and many analysts
    • EIA price forecasts and whether or not they are accurate
    • Geopolitically driven supply disruptions and whether or not they will last
    • Middle Eastern oil production increases and alongside a shifting political picture
    • The possibility of a future where the world can't afford petroleum, and much more...

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  • Art Berman: OPEC Production Cut, Crude Oil Outlook

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss OPEC's latest production cut agreement and what it means, false conception of cutting production to bring balance to an already-balanced market, how excess oil in storage will suppress prices for some time to come, weak demand growth similar to late-2014 won't support higher prices, OPEC not being as desperate as portrayed by the media, and much more.
  • Art Berman: Shale Gas Magical Thinking And The Reality of Low Gas Prices

  • Art Berman: The market has de-valued the oil price yield curve

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Art Berman back to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss comparative inventory and inventory correlation to price on oil. They further look at price cycles, the oil-price yield curve and the impact of U.S. exporting oil. They further discuss why backwardation is collapsing on WTI, sensitivities to supply concerns and the discrepancies between IEA and OPEC forecasts.

MACRO VOICES is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only. The information presented in MACRO VOICES should NOT be construed as investment advice. Always consult a licensed investment professional before making important investment decisions. The opinions expressed on MACRO VOICES are those of the participants. MACRO VOICES, its producers, and hosts Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna shall NOT be liable for losses resulting from investment decisions based on information or viewpoints presented on MACRO VOICES.

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