Macro Voices

Weekly market commentary by Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend and interviews with the brightest minds in the world of finance and macroeconomics. Made possible by funding from Fourth Turning Capital Management, LLC
Title Date Author

EuroDollar University, Season 2, Part 1

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jeffrey Snider back to MacroVoices for Part 1 of Season 2 of the new Eurodollar University series. During this episode, Erik and Jeff discuss the lost dollar decade and put into context the global dollar markets. They further dive into the shadows of the great financial crisis and the liquidity crisis in the CDS markets.

2018-08-09 Erik Townsend

Jesse Felder: Equity Markets are in a Topping Process

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jesse Felder to MacroVoices. Erik and Jesse discuss drivers behind the everything bubble, and will quantitative tightening be a trigger? Impacts of market leverage, the Buffet yard stick and what is in store for the FAANG stocks.

2018-08-02 MacroVoices

Martin Armstrong: There is no alternative to the Equity Market

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome back Martin Armstrong to MacroVoices. Erik and Martin discuss if there is room for the equity bull market to continue. They further discuss the outlook on global bond, U.S. Dollar, and gold. They further discuss the geopolitics in Europe, Russia and China and look at domestic politics in the U.S. going into the mid-term elections.

2018-07-26 MacroVoices

David Rosenberg: The top is probably in already

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome David Rosenberg to MacroVoices. Erik asks Dave if there is one more leg higher in the S&P500 or is the top in? They further discuss the outlook on junk and investment grade bonds and how to play the short on low grade corporates. They further discuss inflation, USD, the business cycle and where yields are heading from hear. The end with the outlook on the Canadian dollar and the Canadian housing cycle.

2018-07-19 MacroVoices

Dr. Pippa Malmgren: Social Media Data Mining is the new Geopolitical Frontier

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Dr. Pippa Malmgren to MacroVoices. Erik and Pippa discuss Trump, art of the deal, trade wars and North Korea. They further discuss Russia, Syria, US and chemical warfare and global de-dollarization. They finally end discussing Facebook’s impact on geo-politics and financial markets, social media data mining and the Leadership Lab: Understanding Leadership in the 21st century

2018-07-12 MacroVoices

Chris Cook: Energy Markets are Manipulated in Multiple Timeframe

MacroVoices welcomes Chris Cook to the show. Erik and Chris discuss the blow out of time spreads in WTI, oil deals outside of the market and the impact of Syncrude going offline. They further discuss dark inventories, what is it and how does it fit into the big picture. They further discuss the China and the Petro-Yuan contract and gaming US exports and inventories.

2018-07-05 MacroVoices

Eric Peters: USD Reserve Status, Unfunded Liabilities, Inflation & More

MacroVoices and Erik Townsend welcomes Eric Peters as this week’s guest, co-hosted by Kevin Muir. Erik and Eric discuss the future of the USD as the world reserve currency, the impact of protectionist policies on financial markets and the FED reductions and their impact around the world. The further discuss inflation, entitlements and the changes we can expect in central bank attitudes moving forward. Later in the podcast the discuss demographics, baby boomers, and millennials and their impact over the coming years on financial markets.

2018-06-28 Erik Townsend

Luke Gromen: Secular Dollar Bear goes Tactically Dollar Bullish

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome back Luke Gromen to MacroVoices. Erik and Luke discuss the outlook on the U.S. dollar, funding the U.S. deficits and the U.S. “Impossible Trilemma”. They further discuss Luke’s perspective of the Fed taking the “Shoot the Hostage” stance on the markets and particularly the influence on the emerging markets. They discuss China accelerating global de-dollarization and the U.S. weaponizing the USD and oil against Russia and Iran.

2018-06-21 MacroVoices

Crude Oil Special: Anas Alhajji, Joe McMonigle, Dr. Ellen Wald

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Anas Alhajji, Joe McMonigle and Dr. Ellen Wald to the show. Erik and Ellen discuss how does Saudi Arabia looks at the oil market, perspective about Saudi Aramco, understanding Mohammad bin Salman and the social politics in Saudi Arabia. During the second part of the interview, Erik, Joe and Anas discuss what is driving the oil markets, Iranian sanctions, OPEC and backwardation.

2018-06-14 MacroVoices

DoubleLine’s Jeffrey Sherman: Bond Bear Market is Pausing but Not Over!

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jeffrey Sherman to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey discuss the big picture outlook on the economy, bonds and interest rates. They ask if there is a recession coming in the U.S. and how much upside on the U.S. Dollar? They further debate how will the economy deal with higher rates and inflation, the outlook on gold and commodities.

2018-06-07 MacroVoices

Nomi Prins: Central Bank Collusion; Pat Hemsworth: Crude Oil Update

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Nomi Prins to MacroVoices. Erik and Nomi discuss central bank collusion to prop up asset prices. They further look into why QE never led to runaway inflation and why there has been no consequences over the last 10 years. For the second interview Erik welcomes Pat Hemsworth to the show to discuss everything oil.

2018-05-31 MacroVoices

Dr. Lacy Hunt: The Bond Bull Market is NOT over!

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Dr. Lacy Hunt back to MacroVoices. Erik and Lacy ask if the bond bear market has really started and what are the opposing views? They further discuss shorting high yield debt, junk credit and ask where to be on the yield curve right now. They then move on to discuss the bigger picture as to whether America ever be able to repay the debt and where is the point of no return.

2018-05-24 MacroVoices

Juliette Declercq: The bear argument for the USD

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Juliette Declercq back to MacroVoices. Erik and Juliette discuss the U.S. Dollar, rate differentials and ask if there has been a regime shift. They further discuss how does the economic data tie back into bearish dollar narrative and what are the tactical considerations on a dollar short. They further touch on how traders can position themselves on the interim.

2018-05-17 MacroVoices

Charles Gave: Our Industry is NOT prepared for secular inflation!

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Charles Gave to MacroVoices. Erik and Charles discuss the corporate yield curve and what it is telling us about the equity market. They then delve into the Hong Kong dollar peg and perspective on China’s debt and related risks. They further discuss the risk parity trade with bonds and stocks selling off simultaneously and the return of secular inflation. They look at the upcoming monetary war and how gold will play the arbiter”. They further look into what happened in the 70’s with inflation and how one can prepare for the return of secular inflation.

2018-05-10 MacroVoices

Russell Napier: Signs of incipient inflation are a false alarm and won’t last long

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Russell Napier to MacroVoices. Erik and Russell discuss deflationary risks in the U.S. and context on current higher inflation prints. Erik asks Russell how high are risks of a credit event and what risks are there emanating from China.
They further consider the impact of higher interest rates and ask if there a concern of the U.S. government not being able to fund itself. They ask what comes next for the equity markets, the impacts on junk bonds and what is next for Japan.

2018-05-03 MacroVoices

Marin Katusa: Copper, Uranium & the EV Revolution

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Marin Katusa to the show. They discuss uranium exports to from Russia to the U.S. and what options does the US have for new uranium sources? They further explore electric vehicles and why they’ll be a dominant trend over the coming years and why copper is a key component in playing the EV trend. They discuss if copper is a sole source material for EV or is there an alternative?

2018-04-26 MacroVoices

Bassman/Cudmore/Snider: Market Correction Review

MacroVoices welcomes Harley Bassman, Mark Cudmore and Jeffrey Snider for a triple header episode asking if the market correction is over. The further discuss, bonds, commodities and the U.S. Dollar.

2018-04-19 MacroVoices

Darius Dale: Hedgeye turn BEARISH U.S. Growth

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Darius Dale to MacroVoices. Erik and Darius discuss the peak in the U.S. growth cycle, inflation and earnings. They further discuss the global divergence reiterated and the prognostications vs the reality of the markets.
They further discuss China’s massive credit expansion, the US dollar and the breakdown in currency and interest differentials.

2018-04-12 MacroVoices

Simon White: Equities are running out of road

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Simon White to MacroVoices. Erik and Simon discuss the equity markets and the post-crash dynamics. They look at the medium-term drivers of the U.S. dollar and ask if something has fundamentally changed in the U.S. treasury markets. They look that the yield curve, TED and LIBOR OIS spreads and conclude by looking at the outlook on the Canadian, Chinese and Japanese economies.

2018-04-05 MacroVoices

Julian Brigden: Stock collapse under own weight or Fed/yields do it for them

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Julian Brigden to MacroVoices. Erik and Julian discuss what is on the horizon for inflation and is there a risk of runaway inflation? They look at today’s market and what comes next for equities. They discuss if the market highs in already and if bonds and stocks sell off, where does the money go? They look at the US dollar, the correlation breakdown between the USD and US bonds and where to focus the bond short.

2018-03-29 MacroVoices

MACRO VOICES is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only. The information presented in MACRO VOICES should NOT be construed as investment advice. Always consult a licensed investment professional before making important investment decisions. The opinions expressed on MACRO VOICES are those of the participants. MACRO VOICES, its producers, and hosts Erik Townsend and Nathan Egger shall NOT be liable for losses resulting from investment decisions based on information or viewpoints presented on MACRO VOICES.

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