About Erik Townsend

hedge fund manager Erik Townsend

Erik Townsend is a retired software entrepreneur turned hedge fund manager. Throughout his career, Erik has capitalized on his ability to understand complex systems and anticipate paradigm shifts far in advance of the mainstream. Read More...

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MacroVoices Weekly Podcasts

MacroVoices Weekly Podcasts

Weekly market commentary by Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend and interviews with the brightest minds in the world of finance and macroeconomics. Made possible by funding from Fourth Turning Capital Management, LLC
  1. Eric Peters: Systemic Risks are Mounting

    Erik Townsend welcomes Eric Peters to MacroVoices. Erik and Eric discuss if this is just a small equity market dislocation or is this bigger, the VIX complex and why the Inverse VIX products were flawed. They put context on the increasing rates, the movement of the dollar, stagflation and inflation risks. They further consider the impact of the changes of leadership at the FED and the policy tools they will be able to use during the next recession.
  2. Jared Dillian: The week short vol imploded

    Erik Townsend welcomes Jared Dillian to MacroVoices. Erik and Jared discuss the drivers of this stock market drop and ask if higher volatility here to stay? The further discuss if this is the beginning of a sustained unwinding of the short vol trade and where are the markets heading from here. They further discuss bonds, interest rates, the US dollar and gold.
  3. Art Berman: Crude Oil Special Double Header

    Erik Townsend welcomes Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss the current oil markets, comparative inventories and OPECs influence on the price. They further put into context on OPEC production cuts and how much new oil is coming from higher prices. They look at the economics on the shale oil fields, perspectives on US oil exports and the general underinvestment in new exploration and development.
  4. Chris Cole: Volatility and the Alchemy of Risk

    Erik Townsend welcomes Chris Cole to MacroVoices. Erik and Chris discuss all things about underlying risks in the current low volatility market. They discuss share buybacks, the explicit vs implicit short vol positions and the impact of risk parity, VAR control, funds. The look at the potential impact of the unwind in the short VIX trade and why the scenarios echo the period prior to the 1987 market drop.
  5. Mark Cudmore: Around the World of Macro

    Erik Townsend welcomes Bloomberg’s Mark Cudmore to MacroVoices. Erik and Mark discuss the outlook for the US dollar, rate differentials and the impact of the Yuan oil contract. They further discuss bonds, inflation and stagnation. They move on to commodities, equities, China and Europe.
  6. Josh Steiner: Global Housing Market Analysis

    Erik Townsend welcomes Josh Steiner to MacroVoices. Erik and Josh discuss the macro drivers of the Canadian and Australian real estate markets. They look at Canada’s minsky moment, the new government policies and the impact on the Canadian banks. They move on to discuss the Australian one-cylinder economy, perspectives on the Australian construction boom and the high levels of home equity withdrawal. They further discuss the U.S. real estate markets and why there is still room to run.
  7. Anatomy of the U.S. Dollar End Game Part 5 of 5

    MacroVoices and Erik Townsend welcome Jeffrey Snider, Mark Yusko and Luke Gromen to the show. In Part 5 of the 5 Part Series, the panel discuss the possible sign posts for the big change and the potential triggers for a lower U.S. dollar. They ask if structural changes be implemented to change the course of the dollar and ask which investment assets will work the best?
  8. Anatomy of the U.S. Dollar End Game Part 4 of 5

    MacroVoices and Erik Townsend welcome Jeffrey Snider, Mark Yusko and Luke Gromen to the show. In Part 4 of the 5 Part Series, Mark Yusko and Luke Gromen debate the gold/oil ratio and gold as a reserve asset. They further discuss international attempts to bypass the U.S. Dollar and the U.S. Dollar shortage caused by the oil price. The finally debate the U.S. losing its status as a hegemonic power and the logistics in replacing the U.S. System.
  9. Anatomy of the U.S. Dollar End Game Part 3 of 5

    MacroVoices and Erik Townsend welcome Jeffrey Snider, Mark Yusko and Luke Gromen to the show. In Part 3 of the 5 Part Series, Mark Yusko and Luke Gromen discuss the cyclical patterns and technicals for the U.S. Dollar and ask if there is room for another rally. They discuss the gold and the oil for Yuan plan. They look at demographics, deflation, lower rates and the new multi-polar FX world.
  10. Anatomy of the U.S. Dollar End Game Part 2 of 5

    MacroVoices and Erik Townsend welcome Jeffrey Snider, Mark Yusko and Luke Gromen to the show. In Part 2 of the 5 Part Series, Jeffrey Snider explains the post 2007 U.S. Dollar shortage and how the dollar scarcity play out? They move on to discuss the problems facing China at the moment and perspective on the China gold buying. They ask if American politicians even know there is a problem?
  11. Anatomy of the U.S. Dollar End Game Part 1 of 5

    MacroVoices and Erik Townsend welcome Jeffrey Snider, Mark Yusko and Luke Gromen to the show. In Part 1 of the 5 Part Series, Jeffrey Snider presents perspectives on where we are today. Looks at how Russia and Brazil dealt with US dollar funding through derivatives and FX repo auctions. They further discuss China’s management of the U.S. dollar and the evolving Chinese response.
  12. Prof. Steve Keen: Reinventing how Economics is Taught

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Steve Keen to MacroVoices. Erik and Steve discuss the 2008 crisis and what could go wrong in the current cycle. They discuss the false narratives around QE and bank reserves and where is the risk to correction in asset pricing. They further discuss the walking dead of debt and the future zombies to be. They further discuss Japan, Canada and China and how long does this debt cycle last?
  13. Juliette Declercq: 2018 Macro Outlook

    Erik Townsend welcomes Juliette Declercq to MacroVoices. Erik and Juliette discuss the US and Chinese economy, inflation and the cautious outlook on equities for 2018. They further discuss interest rates, bond and the potential of a yield curve inversion. Finally, they discuss the Fed and her bearish outlook for the US dollar.
  14. Marin Katusa: Mohamed bin Salman is reshaping Saudi Arabia

    Erik Townsend welcomes Marin Katusa back to MacroVoices. Erik and Marin discuss Saudi Arabian politics and the power shift in the Middle East. They touch on the Petrodollar and the Yuan oil contract, the Saudi Aramco IPO and understanding the OPEC and Russia relationship. The further discuss the future of the electric vehicle market, uranium, global uranium enrichment, Russia and the future of Vladimir Putin.
  15. Jonathan Tepper: Is Retail a Consensus Short or a Contrarian Long?

    Erik Townsend welcomes Jonathan Tepper back to MacroVoices. Erik and Jonathan discuss the outlook on the US dollar, the momentum trade on global equities and VPs contrarian call on the retailers. They further discuss Australian real estate, the Canadian economy and the outlook on China. Special post game guest Devin Anderson to discuss the VIX complex and the short VOL trade.
  16. Francesco Filia: Positive Feedback Loops Threaten Systemic Risk Escalation

    Erik Townsend welcomes Francesco Filia to MacroVoices. Erik and Francesco discuss the twin bubbles in equities and bonds and what the catalyst could be for the reversal. They further discuss the fake market narrative, feedback loops, European junk bonds and the big short VOL trade. Conversation continues in the postgame with guest Kevin Muir to further discuss bonds, inflation and the coming collapse of the short VOL trade.
  17. Keith McCullough: Bullish Real Growth

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Keith McCullough to MacroVoices. Erik and Keith discuss the bull narrative on equities and why valuations are not a catalyst. They further go into the trends in growth and inflation, and where we are in the economic cycle. They look at growth acceleration, earnings and the valuations on technology stocks.
  18. Jeffrey Snider: Eurodollar University Part 4

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices for Part 4 of the Eurodollar University. Erik and Jeffrey discuss the failure of Primus and AIG back in 2008, the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act, Henry Paulson and Glass–Steagall. They further discuss the Eurodollar system going parabolic in the 2000s, Banks manipulating regulations and the big picture end game of the Eurodollar system.
  19. Grant Williams: Petroyuan Oil Contract could be a Game Changer

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Grant Williams to MacroVoices. Erik and Grant discuss the outlook for the US dollar, the Petroyuan oil contract and the outlook on gold. They discuss inflation risks, interest rates and bonds, real estate and perspectives on China’s credit bubble. They wrap things up discussing cryptocurrencies and the outlook on Europe.
  20. Harley S. Bassman: The Convexity Maven opines on Macro Themes

    Erik Townsend welcomes Harley Bassman to MacroVoices. Erik and Harley discuss the creation of the MOVE index, the three Drivers of Risk: Duration, Credit, and Convexity and the demographic of the Baby Boomers continues to drive financial markets. They further discuss perspective on CAPE ratio levels, correlation of buybacks to cumulative flows and the flow of active to passive management is building a negatively convex foundation.
  21. Jeffrey Snider: Eurodollar University Part 3

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey discuss the Basel Accords, capital reserve ratios and risk weighting assets. The further discuss the leverage in bank capital, adoption of the JPM RiskMetrics and illustrations of the basic interbank functions.
  22. Art Berman: Comparative Inventory draws spell higher oil prices

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss the comparative inventories on oil and the oil prices responsiveness to the changes in inventories. The further discuss the realization that price recovery takes time and that many refinery intakes have not yet recovered. They further discuss backwardation on WTI, considerations on OPEC-NOPEC production cuts and the global market balance on oil.
  23. Jeffrey Christian: Gold on course for new all-time highs by 2020

    Erik Townsend welcomes Jeffrey Christian back to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey discuss the outlook on the US dollar, gold, silver and global de-dollarization. They further discuss considerations on new crude oil contract with settlement in yuan, backed by gold and the next Fed Chairman. Later in the interview, they discuss ECB policy considerations, decentralization trends in Europe, Russia and China
  24. Jeffrey Snider: Eurodollar University Part 2

    Erik Townsend and Jeffrey Snider are back for Part 2 of the Eurodollar University. Erik and Jeffrey discuss the case of the missing money and the transformation of banking into a wholesale model. They look and the radical monetary evolution and put it into context in understanding the great inflation of the 1970s.
  25. Mark Yusko: All Things Macro

    Part 2 of a two part interview with Mark Yusko discussing commodities, the economy, the markets and more.
  26. Mark Yusko: USD in secular bear market

    Erik Townsend welcomes Mark Yusko back to MacroVoices. They start by discussing Mark’s US Dollar bear thesis from 2016, considerations on the petrodollar and the ascend of the Renminbi. The further discuss the “One Belt One Road Initiative” and ask if the secular blow off top on the dollar occurred?
  27. Mark Grant: Central Bank Liquidity Drives Everything

    Erik Townsend welcomes Mark Grant to MacroVoices. Erik and Mark discuss the outlook for the US Dollar, the Euro, precious metals and US equity markets. The further discuss the impact of Global CB policy vs the FED and ask if the 35-year bond bull market over? Further discussed is perspectives on China’s credit bubble, the underfunded pension crisis and the escalation of North Korea tensions.
  28. Hugh Hendry: Inflation is just over the horizon!

    MacroVoices welcomes Hugh Hendry as this week’s guest. Erik and Hugh discuss the outlook on the global economy, wage and price inflation and the US dollar. The further discuss interest rates, the yield curve, precious metals and global equity markets. Finally, they discuss the considerations on the Chinese credit bubble.
  29. Luke Gromen: The biggest mean reversion in 50+ years is underway!

    Erik Townsend welcomes Luke Gromen to MacroVoices. Erik and Luke discuss his bearish perspectives on the US Dollars and why budget deficits matter. The discuss the new yuan oil contract and how it is changing global landscape and impacting the global Eurodollar system. The further discuss the gold/oil ratio, new rounds of QE, inflation and the starting of the economic endgame?
  30. Jeffrey Snider: Eurodollar University Part 1

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey look at the evolution of Eurodollars. They explore what exactly are Eurodollars and where do they come from? They look at money as interbank liabilities and the transformation of banking into a wholesale model.
  31. Joe McMonigle: Crude Oil Special

    Erik Townsend welcomes Joe McMonigle to MacroVoices. Erik and Joe discuss the oil supply glut, the import data, oil inventories and the outlook for U.S. oil production. They further discuss the geopolitics of Venezuela and Iran and debate if the Saudi Aramco IPO going to happen?
  32. Josh Crumb: All About Gold

    Erik Townsend welcomes Josh Crumb to MacroVoices. Erik and Josh discuss his perspectives on gold and the influences of energy and interest rates. They further discuss the outlook for currencies and cryptocurrencies including bitcoin.
  33. Neil Howe: The really big crisis has yet to arrive!

    Erik Townsend welcomes Neil Howe to MacroVoices. Erik and Neil discuss the Fourth Turning, when it started and how long it will last. They ask if there another big global event on the horizon and what to expect for the next decade? The further explore the impact of baby boomers retiring, the Homelander generation and reflections on the book which was written over 20 years ago.
  34. Raoul Pal & Julian Brigden: When will the dollar rout end?

    Erik Townsend welcomes Julian Brigden and Raoul Pal back to MacroVoices. Erik, Julian & Raoul discuss their views on the US Dollar, the equity markets and the business cycle. They further explore the outlook on the bond bull market, demographics and the coming pension crisis.
  35. Chris Whalen: Equity markets overvalued but not ready to crash

    Erik Townsend welcomes Chris Whalen to MacroVoices. Erik and Chris discuss his views on the U.S. dollar and the overvalued equity markets. The further discuss corporate debt, interest rates, bonds and the high levels of private debt. They further discuss Chris’s books “Inflated” and “Ford Men”.
  36. Dr. Pippa Malmgren: CryptoCurrencies – libertarian dream come true or Orwellian nightmare?

    Erik Townsend welcomes Dr. Pippa Malmgren back to MacroVoices. Erik and Pippa discuss European geopolitics and what is in store for European migration and Turkish politics. They further move into discussing the geopolitics associated with the cryptocurrencies and blockchain technologies.
  37. Dr. Ben Hunt: The Federal Reserve is no longer your friend!

    Erik Townsend welcomes Dr. Ben Hunt back to MacroVoices. Erik and Ben discuss the sea of change at central banks and the negative impact of Fed shrinking their balance sheet. They further discuss the -impact on the markets and the considerations on interest rate and bond trends. They later touch on the flaws of the volatility ETFs and considerations in the real estate markets.
  38. Tian Yang: It’s not time to be short the stock market. Yet.

    Erik Townsend welcomes Tian Yang to MacroVoices. Erik and Tian discuss the US growth and credit cycles and the global liquidity conditions deteriorating sharply. They further discuss China, global equities and fixed income. They further explore the current conditions in Europe, Japan and Australia
  39. Alex Gurevich: ZERO evidence the secular bull market in bonds is over

    Erik Townsend welcomes Alex Gurevich to MacroVoices. Erik and Alex discuss Mario Draghi and ECB, his short Swiss Franc positioning and the US Dollar outlook. They further discuss trump reflation, equity markets and his views on secular interest rates and inflation. Further discussed China, Japan and the outlook on the Canadian economy.
  40. Jesse Felder: The Party is Ending for Stock Bulls

    Erik Townsend welcomes Jesse Felder to MacroVoices. Erik and Jesse discuss the technicals on the markets, DeMark indicators and the potential turning points in the exhausted trends. They further discuss the VIX short positioning and debate if we are in a secular turn in share buybacks?
  41. Keith McCullough: Tech Rally is Not Over!

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Keith McCullough to MacroVoices. Erik and Keith discuss his outlook on the US Dollar, his views on the reflation trade rolling over and his bullish outlook on the US markets and the Nasdaq. They further discuss bond yields, the Euro and his outlook on the emerging markets.
  42. Axel Merk: Trump reflation trade is dead. Equity market hasn’t noticed yet.

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Axel Merk to MacroVoices. Erik and Axel discuss Europe, ECB policy, UK elections and the future of the European union. They further debate the Trump reflation trade, the U.S. dollar and fiscal/monetary policy. Looking around the globe, the look at the Chinese Yuan devaluation, Japan and the outlook on gold.
  43. Art Berman: Crude Oil Special Part 1

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art put perspective on OPEC, the 9-month extension on production cuts and OPEC’s goal to keep a floor under oil prices. They look at the positioning of oil traders since February and the reasons for lower oil prices.
  44. Art Berman: Crude Oil Special Part 2

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art put perspective on OPEC, the 9-month extension on production cuts and OPEC’s goal to keep a floor under oil prices. They look at the positioning of oil traders since February and the reasons for lower oil prices. This is Part 2 of a 2 Part episode.
  45. Jeffrey Snider: Dollar bulls don’t understand why they are right

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey look at Eurodollars and the Eurodollar shortage. They discuss the real drivers of the US Dollar bull market and the flaws in the reflation trade narrative. The discuss the connection between Eurodollars and gold and the impact of QE on Eurodollar system.
  46. Russell Napier: Buy the Dollar Dip

    Erik Townsend welcomes Professor Russell Napier to MacroVoices. Erik and Russell discuss if the U.S. Dollar bull market over, where we are in the secular treasury bond bull market and the coming pension crisis. They further discuss inflation expectations, the outlook for precious metals and the European exit contagion risk.
  47. Lacy Hunt: The secular bond bull market is not over!

    Erik Townsend welcomes Dr. Lacy Hunt to MacroVoices. Erik and Lacy discuss the important question as to if the secular lows are in for U.S. interest rates. The further discuss the work of Minsky and Kindelberger and ask the important question as if the world is turning Japanese? The further explore the impact of demographics, negative interest rates and the Fed hiking into deteriorating economy.
  48. Steve Keen: On All Things Macro

    Erik Townsend welcomes Steve Keen back to MacroVoices. Erik and Steve discuss the French election, the next move in the Euro and U.S. Dollar. The further discuss the bond bull market and considerations in private debt levels. They further discuss global geopolitics, China and ask if we could avoid another financial crisis.
  49. Martin Armstrong: Stocks could DOUBLE from here!

    Erik Townsend welcomes Martin Armstrong to MacroVoices. Erik and Martin discuss his views on the U.S. Dollar and the future of the European Union. Martin discusses his bullish case for U.S. stocks and considerations for international money flows. They discuss future interest rate trends, government debt, the geopolitics of North Korea and Syria and considerations on China and the debt crisis.
  50. Danielle DiMartino Booth: Fed Up with the Federal Reserve

    Erik Townsend welcomes Danielle DiMartino Booth to MacroVoices. Erik and Danielle discuss a look at the Fed from the inside. They further discuss the shadow banking system, reflect on the global financial crisis and the culture at the regional reserve banks.
  51. Lance Roberts: Record margin debt threatens fed-fueled bull market

    Erik Townsend welcomes Lance Roberts to MacroVoices. Erik and Lance discuss the liquidity driven markets and the Fed balance sheet driving asset prices. They further discuss the margin debt vs. the net credit balance and as a % of real GDP. The further discuss the total system leverage, the economic deficit and peaks in real profit margins.
  52. Juliette Declercq: A Red string of fate ties U.S. to China

    Erik Townsend welcomes Juliette Declercq to MacroVoices. Erik and Juliette discuss the US Dollar, 10-year UST and the FOMC. They reflect on Juliette’s perspectives on the red string of fate ties U.S. to China, future FOMC policy and the current business cycle. They further discuss where is the ISM heading next, the impact on Trump’s tax and infrastructure spending and the potential surprises for the upcoming French election.
  53. Julian Brigden: The “Trump Gap”, the Dollar and Bonds

    Erik Townsend welcomes Julian Brigden back to MacroVoices. Erik and Julian discuss the U.S. Dollars impact on the US shale bubble, the peak acceleration in ISM manufacturing and the risk that headline inflation is peaking. They further discuss if the Fed tightening is going to start to impact data. Julian also points out that the bond shorting opportunity is over and the subsequent risks to the reflationary trades. Also discussed are the wage trends in the U.S., perspectives on European growth and inflation and the relative pricing between U.S. and European bunds.
  54. Jeffrey Christian: Secular BUY call on Gold

    Erik Townsend welcomes Jeffrey Christian back to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey discuss the outlook on the US dollar, Jeff’s secular bullish call on gold and silver and the current demand for physical gold. Jeff further discusses the fundamentals for the platinum, palladium and lithium markets. Further, they wrap things up with Jeff’s macro outlook on the economy, the European Union and outlook for China and Russia.
  55. Jonathan Tepper: The Sea of Excess Liquidity which fueled the rally will soon dry up!

    Erik Townsend welcomes Jonathan Tepper to MacroVoices. Erik and Jonathan discuss the excess liquidity generated by central bank policy and the impact to equities, emerging markets and commodity prices. Jonathan gives further insights on inflation risks and the real end game and runaway inflation. They further discuss the 35-year secular bull market in sovereign bonds and the yield curve. With further comments on Australia, Brazil, China and Japan.
  56. Art Berman: Outlook for Oil for 2017

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss the current catalyst for the decline in oil – the lack of confidence in OPEC. The discuss the record levels of oil inventories, the comparative inventories to past years, the world production surplus, the global liquids consumption growth, the OECD incremental liquids Inventory and the EIA U.S. crude oil forecast.
  57. Grant Williams: The Rise of Populism, Trump Rally, Gold & More

    MacroVoices welcome back Grant Williams to the show. Erik and Grant discuss the growing rise in populism, Trump’s effect on the markets, peak optimism. Grant shares his view on if there is crisis in China, the gold/copper ratio, stagflation, the likely trend of the U.S. dollar and the and asking if the 35-year bond bull market over?
  58. Louis-Vincent Gave: Translating 2016 Events to 2017 Strategies

    Erik Townsend welcomes Louis-Vincent Gave to MacroVoices. Erik and Louis discuss the China reflation trade and asking when Chinese growth will roll over? They further discuss Brexit and the future of the European Union, Philippines and Rodrigo Duterte and the rise of the Chinese empire. It is closed off with the investment themes and risks for 2017.
  59. Jeffrey Snider: Understanding the Global U.S. Dollar Shortage

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeff discuss the Eurodollar money markets, why the world needs so many dollars, the U.S. Dollar and the Dollar funding gap. Jeffrey further debunks the reflation trade, discusses current interest rate trap and the failing global currency system.
  60. Jim Rogers: Macro Outlook in the Trump Era

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Jim Rogers to MacroVoices. Erik and Jim discuss what is in store for the U.S. Equity Markets, the U.S. Dollar, bonds and gold. Further in the discussion they tackle the history of government failures and his views on the global populist movements. They finish off the conversation discussing Jim’s views on the movement to a cashless society and answering if we are moving away from a free society?
  61. Jack Schwager: Trading Futures

    Erik Townsend welcomes Jack Schwager to MacroVoices. Erik and Jack discuss how has futures trading evolved over the last few decades. They discuss technical vs fundamental analysis and the most important rule in technical trading. The conclude with lessons from the Market Wizards books.
  62. David Rosenberg: Opportunities and Outlook for 2017

    Macro Voices interview with David Rosenberg from Gluskin Sheff. David discusses when is it time to become bearish on the markets, US Dollar Outlook, Canadian Dollar and Canadian Monetary Policy, Future of European Union and asking if the 35-year bond bull market over?
  63. Raoul Pal: Inauguration Eve Macro Update

    Erik Townsend interviews Raoul Pal on MacroVoices. The interview with Raoul starts with asking if Trump can reverse the trend of a strong dollar. They look at the bond markets and ask if the secular bull market is over. Later in the interview, Erik and Raoul discuss the overcrowded VIX contango trade, the big opportunities for 2017 and the short-term outlook for gold, oil and junk bonds.
  64. Rick Rule: Deep dive into pre-revenue resource investing process & due diligence

    Erik Townsend interviews Rick Rule from Sprott Global. The interview with Rick starts with the outlook for the precious metals markets in 2017. Erik then proceeds to discuss the due diligence in making private placements in the gold and silver mining companies. Hear Rick’s insights on evaluating intellectual and physical properties and the common characteristics of successful and failed properties. Rick further puts into perspective how much time and capital is needed to invest into early stage startups.
  65. David Hay: The Trump Triumph Trade (TTT) is overdone!

    Evergreek-Gavekal Chief Investment Officer David Hay joins Erik Townsend as this week’s feature interview guest. Topics include the equity market outlook under President Donald Trump, treasury yields, inflation, energy master limited partnerships, and much more.
  66. Holiday Special RVTV Encore: Edward Misrahi

    An interview which was originally published on June 2, 2016, between Raoul Pal of Real Vision and Edward Misrahi, Goldman Sachs alumni and founder of Eton Park.
  67. Erik Townsend: Accredited Investor Academy, Part 4

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan introduce the Accredited Investor Academy Series, Part 4.
  68. Holiday Special RVTV Encore: Paul J. Isaac

    An interview which was originally published on August 2, 2016, between Grant Williams of Real Vision and Paul J. Isaac, CEO and Founder of Arbiter Partners Capital Management.
  69. David Rose: Accredited Investor Academy, Part 3-A

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan introduce the Accredited Investor Academy Series, Part 3A. We’re taking this week off from our regular show format, so instead of a featured interview guest, we’re airing the third of a four-part series about learning to be a sophisticated private investor.
  70. Erik Townsend: Accredited Investor Academy, Part 3

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan introduce the Accredited Investor Academy Series, Part 3.
  71. RVTV Encore: Jawad Mian, Part 1

    An interview which was originally published on April 29, 2016 between Grant Williams of Real Vision and Jawad Mian, Founder and Managing Editor of Stray Reflections, a global macro research and trading advisory with a focus on major investment themes and actionable trade ideas.
  72. Julian Brigden: Inflation, U.S. Dollar, Peak Central Bank Omnipotence, Further PM Weakness, and More

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Julian Brigden to MacroVoices. Erik and Julian discuss waxing and waning of U.S. Dollar cycles driving global crises, potentially materially higher headline inflation and wage numbers in 2017, peak central bank omnipotence, potential for sub-$1,000 and sub-$14 gold and silver prices, impact of U.S. Dollar repatriation on Eurodollar funding, and much more.
  73. Prof. Steve Keen: Macro Outlook Under Donald Trump, Inflation, TSY Yields, and More

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Professor Steve Keen to MacroVoices. Erik and Professor Keen discuss how Trump might be the most Keynesian President since Trump, prospects for a debt jubilee and subsequent credit boom, European Union disintegration making Lehman look like a picnic, last gasps of neoliberalism, and more.
  74. Art Berman: OPEC Production Cut, Crude Oil Outlook

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss OPEC's latest production cut agreement and what it means, false conception of cutting production to bring balance to an already-balanced market, how excess oil in storage will suppress prices for some time to come, weak demand growth similar to late-2014 won't support higher prices, OPEC not being as desperate as portrayed by the media, and much more.
  75. Erik Townsend: Accredited Investor Academy Series, Part 2

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan introduce the Accredited Investor Academy Series, Part 2. We’re taking this week off from our regular show format, so instead of a featured interview guest, we’re airing the second of a four-part series about learning to be a sophisticated private investor. Erik and Aaron discuss the process of re-inventing oneself from running a company as an entrepreneur to managing and running money, skillset required for investing versus entrepreneurship, options in alternative financial media, the different categories of private investors and the work required, difference between an asset allocator and a full-time investor, and much more.
  76. RVTV Encore: Edward Carter

    An interview which was originally published on April 8, 2016 between Raoul Pal, founder of Real Vision and Edward Bonham Carter, Vice Chairman of Jupiter Fund Management Plc.
  77. Paul Krake: Post-Trump, Ripping up the Investment Playbook

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Paul Krake to MacroVoices. Erik and Paul discuss the bond market blowup in the context of the U.S. Presidential election, ripping up the investment playbook under a Trump presidency, violent rotation out of long-bond proxies into higher growth, higher rate assets, the resulting balance sheet and pension destruction from the rotation, potential for a disorderly rise in interest rates and the U.S. Dollar, gold losing its predictive ability and relevance, China debt dynamics and potential RMB devaluation in the context of limiting social unrest, and much more.
  78. Dr. Harald Malmgren, Dr. Pippa Malmgren: Post-Election Special

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Dr. Harald Malmgren and Dr. Pippa Malmgren to MacroVoices. Erik, Harald, and Pippa discuss Trump's governance effectiveness in light of the enemies he has made on the campaign trail, sources and potential escalation of social unrest and riots in the aftermath of Trump's victory, the potential for Trump to galvanize the determination, grit, and work ethic of the American electorate, whether markets are prematurely jumping to the conclusion that Trump is necessarily inflationary, outlook for foreign relations with China, Russia, and Mexico, breakdown of the social contract and the collapse in the government's ability to function and meet entitlements, and much more.
  79. RVTV Encore: Dr. Brett Steenbarger

    An interview which was originally published on October 18, 2015 between Raoul Pal of Real Vision and Dr. Brett Steenbarger, Clinical Associate Professor of Psychiatry & Behavioral Science at SUNY Upstate Medical University.
  80. Willem Middelkoop: The Big Reset, China's Role in SDR, Gold, Alternatives to Democracy, and More

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Willem Middelkoop to MacroVoices. Erik and Willem discuss Willem's recent book The Big Reset and the coming monetary reset, China's strategic objectives and pushing for the use of SDRs as the global reserve currency, outlook for the coming secular commodity reflation cycle, Willem's call to buy precious metals and miners in January 2016, and much more.
  81. Hugh Hendry: USD Breakout, Post-Brexit Europe, Benign on Japan, Equity Outlook, & More

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Hugh Hendry to MacroVoices. Erik and Hugh discuss USD breakout and binary consideration of US economy's condition in a strong-dollar environment, Brexit contagion and likelihood of strong vs. weaker countries disbanding from the EU, the "time stop-loss" and when it's appropriate to pivot theses, global transfer from creditors to debtors via the machinations of QE, Hugh's response to Kyle Bass' China devaluation thesis, maintaining intellectual honesty in the face of professional ramifications, and much more.
  82. RVTV Encore: Kyle Bass

    An interview which was originally published on July 1, 2016 between Grant Williams of Real Vision and Kyle Bass, Managing Partner, Chief Investment Officer, Portfolio Manager, and Founder of Hayman Capital Management.
  83. Robin Griffiths: Cyclical and Technical Frameworks, Central Bank Impotence, DM/EM Outlooks, Gold, and More

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Robin Griffiths to MacroVoices. Erik and Robin discuss technical and cyclical frameworks for evaluating financial markets, hierarchy of cycles from seasonal variation to generational, potential panicked selloff in the trade-weighted U.S. dollar, outlook for global equities and central bank-induced flash crashes, gold's resistance at $1,400 and ability to shoot back to all-time highs, and much more.
  84. Mark Yusko: Short Dollar, Long Deutsche Bank, China eCommerce, Oil, and More

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Mark Yusko to MacroVoices. Erik and Mark discuss bearish outlook for and reserve status deterioration of U.S. dollar, the "Everything Bubble" and similarities to 2000, misplaced comparisons between Deutsche Bank and Lehman Brothers, exciting trends and generational opportunities in China retail and eCommerce, dangerous paradigm of buying stocks for yield and bonds for capital appreciation, and much more.
  85. RVTV Encore: Michael Lewitt

    An interview which was originally published on July 20, 2016 between Grant Williams of Real Vision and Michael Lewitt, founder of The Credit Strategy Group and writer of The Credit Strategist, a popular and acclaimed investment newsletter.
  86. Simon Hunt: Chinese Political War, IMF Special Drawing Rights, Russia-China Alliance, 2020 Global Market Crash

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Simon Hunt to MacroVoices. Erik and Simon discuss internal politcal wars within China stagnating economic growth, China's steady, step-wise approach to allowing firm bankruptcies, Internal IMF battle for RMB's inclusion in SDR, logic behind China's stockpiling of raw commodities and base metals, impending global stock market crash and economic reset within the next 5 years, and much more.
  87. Michael Lebowitz: Death of the Virtuous Economic Cycle

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Michael Lebowitz to MacroVoices. Erik and Michael discuss the saving discipline that drives the virtuous economic cycle and sustains prosperity, a global economy untethered from demographics and productivity, outlook for negative interest rate policies, alternatives for savers throughout the demise of the virtuous cycle, Trump v. Clinton impacts on global financial markets, and much more.
  88. RVTV Encore: Roy Sebag & Josh Crumb

    An interview which was originally published on April 14, 2016 with Roy Sebag and Josh Crumb, co-founders of Bitgold, and Chief Executive Officer and Chief Strategy Officer of Goldmoney, respectively.
  89. Alex Gurevich: Dominant USD, Historical Fed Tightening Cycles, Cheap Treasuries, China Debt Unwind, and More

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Alex Gurevich to MacroVoices. Erik and Alex discuss market reaction to latest FOMC policy decision, importance of placing current Fed actions in the context of historical rate-hiking cycles, egregiously cheap valuations on 10-year Treasury Notes, gold's positive risk-reward and return expectations in the coming years, China's $30 trillion private debt unwind and history of imperial collapse, and much more.
  90. Raoul Pal: USD, TSYs, Biz Cycle, Gold, EU Exit Contagion & More!

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Raoul Pal to MacroVoices. Erik and Raoul discuss structural issues in LIBOR and Eurodollar markets as bullish for USD, update on Raoul's business cycle framework, 100% probability of recession following 2-term U.S. presidencies, Brexit contagion spreading into the rest of Europe, gold and USD pairs-trade timeline and expectations, precarious state of and systemic risk of the European banking sector, potential moonshot in soft commodities due to weather cycles, and much more.
  91. RVTV Encore: Michael Schneider

    A conversation on April 4, 2016 between Grant Williams and Michael Schneider, Chief Investment Officer of Brookline Partners.
  92. Jeffrey Christian: Precious Metals, Macro Drivers, and More

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Jeffrey Christian to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey discuss U.S. Dollar predictions and the range-bound outlook, Brexit contagion and potential impacts on gold and silver, rejecting old mental models with unprecedentedly low real and nominal interest rates, degradation of global political cooperation, Trump vs. Clinton implications for global markets and precious metals, and much more.
  93. Art Berman: Labor Day Weekend Oil Special

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss looking beyond absolute inventory numbers and gleaning insights from comparative inventories, continued time-spread compression reflecting producer hedging or lack of concern for a storage crisis, feedback loop of insanity in inventory builds and production, and much more.
  94. RVTV Encore: Willem Middelkoop

    A conversation on January 5, 2016 between Grant Williams and Willem Middelkoop, founder of the Commodity Discovery Fund and author of the worldwide bestseller The Big Reset.
  95. Dr. Gary Shilling: Long the Long-Bond, Short Oil, Skeptical of U.S. Stocks

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Dr. Gary Shilling to MacroVoices. Erik and Gary discuss the continued perception of the U.S. Dollar as a safe haven currency, why the long-bond trade isn't over and the forces driving yields lower, reasoning behind going long defensive stocks despite a bearish view on equities, and much more.
  96. Jeffrey Snider: All Signs Point to Global Systemic Reset

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey discuss rich equity valuations despite an on-going earnings recession, the mainstream misconception and myth that the Fed provides liquidity, Milton Friedman's Interest Rate Fallacy and how long-run low interest rates demonstrate tightness of money supply, wholesale eurodollar system not tracking with prior exponential growth and demonstrating permanent monetary disruption, and much more.
  97. RVTV Encore: Paul Brodsky

    A conversation on March 21, 2016 between Grant Williams and Paul Brodsky, founder of Macro Allocation Inc.
  98. Paul Brodsky: Treasury yields, Deflation, and the need for a Financial System Reset

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Paul Brodsky to MacroVoices. Erik and Paul discuss the necessary global reset due to insurmountable leverage, views and outlook for U.S. Treasuries despite obvious sovereign insolvency, the false deleveraging narrative when viewed in the light of base money, thinking behind owning gold bullion relative to gold mining shares, and much more.
  99. Charles Biderman: The Monetary Policy Endgame

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Charles Biderman to MacroVoices. Erik and Charles discuss big picture and current market contexts beginning from Post-WW2, flight capital impact on U.S. markets, backstory related to sub-advisor relationship with and termination from AdvisorShares, and much more.
  100. RVTV Encore: Stephen Diggle

    A conversation on April 25, 2016 between Grant Williams and Stephen Diggle, founder of Vulpes Investment Management.

MACRO VOICES is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only. The information presented in MACRO VOICES should NOT be construed as investment advice. Always consult a licensed investment professional before making important investment decisions. The opinions expressed on MACRO VOICES are those of the participants. MACRO VOICES, its producers, and hosts Erik Townsend and Nathan Egger shall NOT be liable for losses resulting from investment decisions based on information or viewpoints presented on MACRO VOICES.

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