About Erik Townsend

hedge fund manager Erik Townsend

Erik Townsend is a retired software entrepreneur turned hedge fund manager. Throughout his career, Erik has capitalized on his ability to understand complex systems and anticipate paradigm shifts far in advance of the mainstream. Read More...

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MacroVoices Weekly Podcasts

MacroVoices Weekly Podcasts

Weekly market commentary by Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend and interviews with the brightest minds in the world of finance and macroeconomics. Made possible by funding from Fourth Turning Capital Management, LLC
  1. EuroDollar University, Season 2, Part 2

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jeffrey Snider back to MacroVoices for Part 2 of Season 2 of the new Eurodollar University series. During this episode, Erik and Jeff discuss the collateral problems with gold during 2008. Jeff explains why the crisis was a liquidity risk, not a credit risk. They elaborate on the basic interbank functions, balance sheet capacity, negative swap spreads and the pro-cyclical positive monetary feedback loop.
  2. EuroDollar University, Season 2, Part 1

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jeffrey Snider back to MacroVoices for Part 1 of Season 2 of the new Eurodollar University series. During this episode, Erik and Jeff discuss the lost dollar decade and put into context the global dollar markets. They further dive into the shadows of the great financial crisis and the liquidity crisis in the CDS markets.
  3. Jesse Felder: Equity Markets are in a Topping Process

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jesse Felder to MacroVoices. Erik and Jesse discuss drivers behind the everything bubble, and will quantitative tightening be a trigger? Impacts of market leverage, the Buffet yard stick and what is in store for the FAANG stocks.
  4. Martin Armstrong: There is no alternative to the Equity Market

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome back Martin Armstrong to MacroVoices. Erik and Martin discuss if there is room for the equity bull market to continue. They further discuss the outlook on global bond, U.S. Dollar, and gold. They further discuss the geopolitics in Europe, Russia and China and look at domestic politics in the U.S. going into the mid-term elections.
  5. David Rosenberg: The top is probably in already

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome David Rosenberg to MacroVoices. Erik asks Dave if there is one more leg higher in the S&P500 or is the top in? They further discuss the outlook on junk and investment grade bonds and how to play the short on low grade corporates. They further discuss inflation, USD, the business cycle and where yields are heading from hear. The end with the outlook on the Canadian dollar and the Canadian housing cycle.
  6. Dr. Pippa Malmgren: Social Media Data Mining is the new Geopolitical Frontier

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Dr. Pippa Malmgren to MacroVoices. Erik and Pippa discuss Trump, art of the deal, trade wars and North Korea. They further discuss Russia, Syria, US and chemical warfare and global de-dollarization. They finally end discussing Facebook’s impact on geo-politics and financial markets, social media data mining and the Leadership Lab: Understanding Leadership in the 21st century
  7. Chris Cook: Energy Markets are Manipulated in Multiple Timeframe

    MacroVoices welcomes Chris Cook to the show. Erik and Chris discuss the blow out of time spreads in WTI, oil deals outside of the market and the impact of Syncrude going offline. They further discuss dark inventories, what is it and how does it fit into the big picture. They further discuss the China and the Petro-Yuan contract and gaming US exports and inventories.
  8. Eric Peters: USD Reserve Status, Unfunded Liabilities, Inflation & More

    MacroVoices and Erik Townsend welcomes Eric Peters as this week’s guest, co-hosted by Kevin Muir. Erik and Eric discuss the future of the USD as the world reserve currency, the impact of protectionist policies on financial markets and the FED reductions and their impact around the world. The further discuss inflation, entitlements and the changes we can expect in central bank attitudes moving forward. Later in the podcast the discuss demographics, baby boomers, and millennials and their impact over the coming years on financial markets.
  9. Luke Gromen: Secular Dollar Bear goes Tactically Dollar Bullish

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome back Luke Gromen to MacroVoices. Erik and Luke discuss the outlook on the U.S. dollar, funding the U.S. deficits and the U.S. “Impossible Trilemma”. They further discuss Luke’s perspective of the Fed taking the “Shoot the Hostage” stance on the markets and particularly the influence on the emerging markets. They discuss China accelerating global de-dollarization and the U.S. weaponizing the USD and oil against Russia and Iran.
  10. Crude Oil Special: Anas Alhajji, Joe McMonigle, Dr. Ellen Wald

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Anas Alhajji, Joe McMonigle and Dr. Ellen Wald to the show. Erik and Ellen discuss how does Saudi Arabia looks at the oil market, perspective about Saudi Aramco, understanding Mohammad bin Salman and the social politics in Saudi Arabia. During the second part of the interview, Erik, Joe and Anas discuss what is driving the oil markets, Iranian sanctions, OPEC and backwardation.
  11. DoubleLine’s Jeffrey Sherman: Bond Bear Market is Pausing but Not Over!

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jeffrey Sherman to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey discuss the big picture outlook on the economy, bonds and interest rates. They ask if there is a recession coming in the U.S. and how much upside on the U.S. Dollar? They further debate how will the economy deal with higher rates and inflation, the outlook on gold and commodities.
  12. Nomi Prins: Central Bank Collusion; Pat Hemsworth: Crude Oil Update

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Nomi Prins to MacroVoices. Erik and Nomi discuss central bank collusion to prop up asset prices. They further look into why QE never led to runaway inflation and why there has been no consequences over the last 10 years. For the second interview Erik welcomes Pat Hemsworth to the show to discuss everything oil.
  13. Dr. Lacy Hunt: The Bond Bull Market is NOT over!

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Dr. Lacy Hunt back to MacroVoices. Erik and Lacy ask if the bond bear market has really started and what are the opposing views? They further discuss shorting high yield debt, junk credit and ask where to be on the yield curve right now. They then move on to discuss the bigger picture as to whether America ever be able to repay the debt and where is the point of no return.
  14. Juliette Declercq: The bear argument for the USD

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Juliette Declercq back to MacroVoices. Erik and Juliette discuss the U.S. Dollar, rate differentials and ask if there has been a regime shift. They further discuss how does the economic data tie back into bearish dollar narrative and what are the tactical considerations on a dollar short. They further touch on how traders can position themselves on the interim.
  15. Charles Gave: Our Industry is NOT prepared for secular inflation!

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Charles Gave to MacroVoices. Erik and Charles discuss the corporate yield curve and what it is telling us about the equity market. They then delve into the Hong Kong dollar peg and perspective on China’s debt and related risks. They further discuss the risk parity trade with bonds and stocks selling off simultaneously and the return of secular inflation. They look at the upcoming monetary war and how gold will play the arbiter”. They further look into what happened in the 70’s with inflation and how one can prepare for the return of secular inflation.
  16. Russell Napier: Signs of incipient inflation are a false alarm and won’t last long

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Russell Napier to MacroVoices. Erik and Russell discuss deflationary risks in the U.S. and context on current higher inflation prints. Erik asks Russell how high are risks of a credit event and what risks are there emanating from China. They further consider the impact of higher interest rates and ask if there a concern of the U.S. government not being able to fund itself. They ask what comes next for the equity markets, the impacts on junk bonds and what is next for Japan.
  17. Marin Katusa: Copper, Uranium & the EV Revolution

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Marin Katusa to the show. They discuss uranium exports to from Russia to the U.S. and what options does the US have for new uranium sources? They further explore electric vehicles and why they’ll be a dominant trend over the coming years and why copper is a key component in playing the EV trend. They discuss if copper is a sole source material for EV or is there an alternative?
  18. Bassman/Cudmore/Snider: Market Correction Review

    MacroVoices welcomes Harley Bassman, Mark Cudmore and Jeffrey Snider for a triple header episode asking if the market correction is over. The further discuss, bonds, commodities and the U.S. Dollar.
  19. Darius Dale: Hedgeye turn BEARISH U.S. Growth

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Darius Dale to MacroVoices. Erik and Darius discuss the peak in the U.S. growth cycle, inflation and earnings. They further discuss the global divergence reiterated and the prognostications vs the reality of the markets. They further discuss China’s massive credit expansion, the US dollar and the breakdown in currency and interest differentials.
  20. Simon White: Equities are running out of road

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Simon White to MacroVoices. Erik and Simon discuss the equity markets and the post-crash dynamics. They look at the medium-term drivers of the U.S. dollar and ask if something has fundamentally changed in the U.S. treasury markets. They look that the yield curve, TED and LIBOR OIS spreads and conclude by looking at the outlook on the Canadian, Chinese and Japanese economies.
  21. Julian Brigden: Stock collapse under own weight or Fed/yields do it for them

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Julian Brigden to MacroVoices. Erik and Julian discuss what is on the horizon for inflation and is there a risk of runaway inflation? They look at today’s market and what comes next for equities. They discuss if the market highs in already and if bonds and stocks sell off, where does the money go? They look at the US dollar, the correlation breakdown between the USD and US bonds and where to focus the bond short.
  22. Jeff Snider: U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Deep Dive

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeff discuss what the current yield curve is telling us? They touch on the changes from an era of fed funds rate targeting and reflect on the 2006-2009 period for interest rates and the reflation trends in the post “Great Financial Crisis”. Jeff continues to deconstruct rates, the negative term premiums and the markets inflation expectations. They conclude looking at central bank failure and why this flat curve is bad.
  23. John Mauldin: No sign of imminent recession

    Erik Townsend welcomes John Mauldin to MacroVoices. Erik starts by asking John if this is the end or just the beginning of this small market dislocation? They further discuss drivers behind the back up of interest rates and ask how far can the 10-year go before something breaks and what are the risks? They proceed to discuss inflation, China and some of the surprises from the SIC conference this year.
  24. Jim Grant: The great Bond BEAR Market has already begun!

    Erik Townsend welcomes Jim Grant to MacroVoices. Erik and Jim discuss new Fed governor Powell, treasury yields and how far the FED go before something breaks. They discuss his outlook on inflation, gold, junk bonds, China and the drivers of long term debt cycles. They reflect on History and what happened when the FED did not bail out the banks in 1920 and considerations on what actions the US government can take to deal with the debt.
  25. Jeffrey Snider: Since 2008 major turning points in Gold have been punctuated by Eurodollar anomalies

    Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey discuss gold swaps, how central banks engage in them and what has changed in gold swap markets today. They further investigate the gold bug’s conspiracy theory about “gold pukes” and what happened to gold in the 2008 crisis. They finally touch on how has the mood changed in gold starting 2017?
  26. Rick Rule: Natural Resource Investing

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Rick Rule from Sprott Global to MacroVoices. Erik and Rick discuss using a top down macro perspective on resource investing. The delve into rare earths, lithium uranium and nuclear energy. The discuss the future of liquid fluoride thorium reactors, copper, potash and investing in water as a commodity.
  27. Eric Peters: Systemic Risks are Mounting

    Erik Townsend welcomes Eric Peters to MacroVoices. Erik and Eric discuss if this is just a small equity market dislocation or is this bigger, the VIX complex and why the Inverse VIX products were flawed. They put context on the increasing rates, the movement of the dollar, stagflation and inflation risks. They further consider the impact of the changes of leadership at the FED and the policy tools they will be able to use during the next recession.
  28. Jared Dillian: The week short vol imploded

    Erik Townsend welcomes Jared Dillian to MacroVoices. Erik and Jared discuss the drivers of this stock market drop and ask if higher volatility here to stay? The further discuss if this is the beginning of a sustained unwinding of the short vol trade and where are the markets heading from here. They further discuss bonds, interest rates, the US dollar and gold.
  29. Art Berman: Crude Oil Special Double Header

    Erik Townsend welcomes Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss the current oil markets, comparative inventories and OPECs influence on the price. They further put into context on OPEC production cuts and how much new oil is coming from higher prices. They look at the economics on the shale oil fields, perspectives on US oil exports and the general underinvestment in new exploration and development.
  30. Chris Cole: Volatility and the Alchemy of Risk

    Erik Townsend welcomes Chris Cole to MacroVoices. Erik and Chris discuss all things about underlying risks in the current low volatility market. They discuss share buybacks, the explicit vs implicit short vol positions and the impact of risk parity, VAR control, funds. The look at the potential impact of the unwind in the short VIX trade and why the scenarios echo the period prior to the 1987 market drop.
  31. Mark Cudmore: Around the World of Macro

    Erik Townsend welcomes Bloomberg’s Mark Cudmore to MacroVoices. Erik and Mark discuss the outlook for the US dollar, rate differentials and the impact of the Yuan oil contract. They further discuss bonds, inflation and stagnation. They move on to commodities, equities, China and Europe.
  32. Josh Steiner: Global Housing Market Analysis

    Erik Townsend welcomes Josh Steiner to MacroVoices. Erik and Josh discuss the macro drivers of the Canadian and Australian real estate markets. They look at Canada’s minsky moment, the new government policies and the impact on the Canadian banks. They move on to discuss the Australian one-cylinder economy, perspectives on the Australian construction boom and the high levels of home equity withdrawal. They further discuss the U.S. real estate markets and why there is still room to run.
  33. Anatomy of the U.S. Dollar End Game Part 5 of 5

    MacroVoices and Erik Townsend welcome Jeffrey Snider, Mark Yusko and Luke Gromen to the show. In Part 5 of the 5 Part Series, the panel discuss the possible sign posts for the big change and the potential triggers for a lower U.S. dollar. They ask if structural changes be implemented to change the course of the dollar and ask which investment assets will work the best?
  34. Anatomy of the U.S. Dollar End Game Part 4 of 5

    MacroVoices and Erik Townsend welcome Jeffrey Snider, Mark Yusko and Luke Gromen to the show. In Part 4 of the 5 Part Series, Mark Yusko and Luke Gromen debate the gold/oil ratio and gold as a reserve asset. They further discuss international attempts to bypass the U.S. Dollar and the U.S. Dollar shortage caused by the oil price. The finally debate the U.S. losing its status as a hegemonic power and the logistics in replacing the U.S. System.
  35. Anatomy of the U.S. Dollar End Game Part 3 of 5

    MacroVoices and Erik Townsend welcome Jeffrey Snider, Mark Yusko and Luke Gromen to the show. In Part 3 of the 5 Part Series, Mark Yusko and Luke Gromen discuss the cyclical patterns and technicals for the U.S. Dollar and ask if there is room for another rally. They discuss the gold and the oil for Yuan plan. They look at demographics, deflation, lower rates and the new multi-polar FX world.
  36. Anatomy of the U.S. Dollar End Game Part 2 of 5

    MacroVoices and Erik Townsend welcome Jeffrey Snider, Mark Yusko and Luke Gromen to the show. In Part 2 of the 5 Part Series, Jeffrey Snider explains the post 2007 U.S. Dollar shortage and how the dollar scarcity play out? They move on to discuss the problems facing China at the moment and perspective on the China gold buying. They ask if American politicians even know there is a problem?
  37. Anatomy of the U.S. Dollar End Game Part 1 of 5

    MacroVoices and Erik Townsend welcome Jeffrey Snider, Mark Yusko and Luke Gromen to the show. In Part 1 of the 5 Part Series, Jeffrey Snider presents perspectives on where we are today. Looks at how Russia and Brazil dealt with US dollar funding through derivatives and FX repo auctions. They further discuss China’s management of the U.S. dollar and the evolving Chinese response.
  38. Prof. Steve Keen: Reinventing how Economics is Taught

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Steve Keen to MacroVoices. Erik and Steve discuss the 2008 crisis and what could go wrong in the current cycle. They discuss the false narratives around QE and bank reserves and where is the risk to correction in asset pricing. They further discuss the walking dead of debt and the future zombies to be. They further discuss Japan, Canada and China and how long does this debt cycle last?
  39. Juliette Declercq: 2018 Macro Outlook

    Erik Townsend welcomes Juliette Declercq to MacroVoices. Erik and Juliette discuss the US and Chinese economy, inflation and the cautious outlook on equities for 2018. They further discuss interest rates, bond and the potential of a yield curve inversion. Finally, they discuss the Fed and her bearish outlook for the US dollar.
  40. Marin Katusa: Mohamed bin Salman is reshaping Saudi Arabia

    Erik Townsend welcomes Marin Katusa back to MacroVoices. Erik and Marin discuss Saudi Arabian politics and the power shift in the Middle East. They touch on the Petrodollar and the Yuan oil contract, the Saudi Aramco IPO and understanding the OPEC and Russia relationship. The further discuss the future of the electric vehicle market, uranium, global uranium enrichment, Russia and the future of Vladimir Putin.
  41. Jonathan Tepper: Is Retail a Consensus Short or a Contrarian Long?

    Erik Townsend welcomes Jonathan Tepper back to MacroVoices. Erik and Jonathan discuss the outlook on the US dollar, the momentum trade on global equities and VPs contrarian call on the retailers. They further discuss Australian real estate, the Canadian economy and the outlook on China. Special post game guest Devin Anderson to discuss the VIX complex and the short VOL trade.
  42. Francesco Filia: Positive Feedback Loops Threaten Systemic Risk Escalation

    Erik Townsend welcomes Francesco Filia to MacroVoices. Erik and Francesco discuss the twin bubbles in equities and bonds and what the catalyst could be for the reversal. They further discuss the fake market narrative, feedback loops, European junk bonds and the big short VOL trade. Conversation continues in the postgame with guest Kevin Muir to further discuss bonds, inflation and the coming collapse of the short VOL trade.
  43. Keith McCullough: Bullish Real Growth

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Keith McCullough to MacroVoices. Erik and Keith discuss the bull narrative on equities and why valuations are not a catalyst. They further go into the trends in growth and inflation, and where we are in the economic cycle. They look at growth acceleration, earnings and the valuations on technology stocks.
  44. Jeffrey Snider: Eurodollar University Part 4

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices for Part 4 of the Eurodollar University. Erik and Jeffrey discuss the failure of Primus and AIG back in 2008, the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act, Henry Paulson and Glass–Steagall. They further discuss the Eurodollar system going parabolic in the 2000s, Banks manipulating regulations and the big picture end game of the Eurodollar system.
  45. Grant Williams: Petroyuan Oil Contract could be a Game Changer

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Grant Williams to MacroVoices. Erik and Grant discuss the outlook for the US dollar, the Petroyuan oil contract and the outlook on gold. They discuss inflation risks, interest rates and bonds, real estate and perspectives on China’s credit bubble. They wrap things up discussing cryptocurrencies and the outlook on Europe.
  46. Harley S. Bassman: The Convexity Maven opines on Macro Themes

    Erik Townsend welcomes Harley Bassman to MacroVoices. Erik and Harley discuss the creation of the MOVE index, the three Drivers of Risk: Duration, Credit, and Convexity and the demographic of the Baby Boomers continues to drive financial markets. They further discuss perspective on CAPE ratio levels, correlation of buybacks to cumulative flows and the flow of active to passive management is building a negatively convex foundation.
  47. Jeffrey Snider: Eurodollar University Part 3

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey discuss the Basel Accords, capital reserve ratios and risk weighting assets. The further discuss the leverage in bank capital, adoption of the JPM RiskMetrics and illustrations of the basic interbank functions.
  48. Art Berman: Comparative Inventory draws spell higher oil prices

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss the comparative inventories on oil and the oil prices responsiveness to the changes in inventories. The further discuss the realization that price recovery takes time and that many refinery intakes have not yet recovered. They further discuss backwardation on WTI, considerations on OPEC-NOPEC production cuts and the global market balance on oil.
  49. Jeffrey Christian: Gold on course for new all-time highs by 2020

    Erik Townsend welcomes Jeffrey Christian back to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey discuss the outlook on the US dollar, gold, silver and global de-dollarization. They further discuss considerations on new crude oil contract with settlement in yuan, backed by gold and the next Fed Chairman. Later in the interview, they discuss ECB policy considerations, decentralization trends in Europe, Russia and China
  50. Jeffrey Snider: Eurodollar University Part 2

    Erik Townsend and Jeffrey Snider are back for Part 2 of the Eurodollar University. Erik and Jeffrey discuss the case of the missing money and the transformation of banking into a wholesale model. They look and the radical monetary evolution and put it into context in understanding the great inflation of the 1970s.
  51. Mark Yusko: All Things Macro

    Part 2 of a two part interview with Mark Yusko discussing commodities, the economy, the markets and more.
  52. Mark Yusko: USD in secular bear market

    Erik Townsend welcomes Mark Yusko back to MacroVoices. They start by discussing Mark’s US Dollar bear thesis from 2016, considerations on the petrodollar and the ascend of the Renminbi. The further discuss the “One Belt One Road Initiative” and ask if the secular blow off top on the dollar occurred?
  53. Mark Grant: Central Bank Liquidity Drives Everything

    Erik Townsend welcomes Mark Grant to MacroVoices. Erik and Mark discuss the outlook for the US Dollar, the Euro, precious metals and US equity markets. The further discuss the impact of Global CB policy vs the FED and ask if the 35-year bond bull market over? Further discussed is perspectives on China’s credit bubble, the underfunded pension crisis and the escalation of North Korea tensions.
  54. Hugh Hendry: Inflation is just over the horizon!

    MacroVoices welcomes Hugh Hendry as this week’s guest. Erik and Hugh discuss the outlook on the global economy, wage and price inflation and the US dollar. The further discuss interest rates, the yield curve, precious metals and global equity markets. Finally, they discuss the considerations on the Chinese credit bubble.
  55. Luke Gromen: The biggest mean reversion in 50+ years is underway!

    Erik Townsend welcomes Luke Gromen to MacroVoices. Erik and Luke discuss his bearish perspectives on the US Dollars and why budget deficits matter. The discuss the new yuan oil contract and how it is changing global landscape and impacting the global Eurodollar system. The further discuss the gold/oil ratio, new rounds of QE, inflation and the starting of the economic endgame?
  56. Jeffrey Snider: Eurodollar University Part 1

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey look at the evolution of Eurodollars. They explore what exactly are Eurodollars and where do they come from? They look at money as interbank liabilities and the transformation of banking into a wholesale model.
  57. Joe McMonigle: Crude Oil Special

    Erik Townsend welcomes Joe McMonigle to MacroVoices. Erik and Joe discuss the oil supply glut, the import data, oil inventories and the outlook for U.S. oil production. They further discuss the geopolitics of Venezuela and Iran and debate if the Saudi Aramco IPO going to happen?
  58. Josh Crumb: All About Gold

    Erik Townsend welcomes Josh Crumb to MacroVoices. Erik and Josh discuss his perspectives on gold and the influences of energy and interest rates. They further discuss the outlook for currencies and cryptocurrencies including bitcoin.
  59. Neil Howe: The really big crisis has yet to arrive!

    Erik Townsend welcomes Neil Howe to MacroVoices. Erik and Neil discuss the Fourth Turning, when it started and how long it will last. They ask if there another big global event on the horizon and what to expect for the next decade? The further explore the impact of baby boomers retiring, the Homelander generation and reflections on the book which was written over 20 years ago.
  60. Raoul Pal & Julian Brigden: When will the dollar rout end?

    Erik Townsend welcomes Julian Brigden and Raoul Pal back to MacroVoices. Erik, Julian & Raoul discuss their views on the US Dollar, the equity markets and the business cycle. They further explore the outlook on the bond bull market, demographics and the coming pension crisis.
  61. Chris Whalen: Equity markets overvalued but not ready to crash

    Erik Townsend welcomes Chris Whalen to MacroVoices. Erik and Chris discuss his views on the U.S. dollar and the overvalued equity markets. The further discuss corporate debt, interest rates, bonds and the high levels of private debt. They further discuss Chris’s books “Inflated” and “Ford Men”.
  62. Dr. Pippa Malmgren: CryptoCurrencies – libertarian dream come true or Orwellian nightmare?

    Erik Townsend welcomes Dr. Pippa Malmgren back to MacroVoices. Erik and Pippa discuss European geopolitics and what is in store for European migration and Turkish politics. They further move into discussing the geopolitics associated with the cryptocurrencies and blockchain technologies.
  63. Dr. Ben Hunt: The Federal Reserve is no longer your friend!

    Erik Townsend welcomes Dr. Ben Hunt back to MacroVoices. Erik and Ben discuss the sea of change at central banks and the negative impact of Fed shrinking their balance sheet. They further discuss the -impact on the markets and the considerations on interest rate and bond trends. They later touch on the flaws of the volatility ETFs and considerations in the real estate markets.
  64. Tian Yang: It’s not time to be short the stock market. Yet.

    Erik Townsend welcomes Tian Yang to MacroVoices. Erik and Tian discuss the US growth and credit cycles and the global liquidity conditions deteriorating sharply. They further discuss China, global equities and fixed income. They further explore the current conditions in Europe, Japan and Australia
  65. Alex Gurevich: ZERO evidence the secular bull market in bonds is over

    Erik Townsend welcomes Alex Gurevich to MacroVoices. Erik and Alex discuss Mario Draghi and ECB, his short Swiss Franc positioning and the US Dollar outlook. They further discuss trump reflation, equity markets and his views on secular interest rates and inflation. Further discussed China, Japan and the outlook on the Canadian economy.
  66. Jesse Felder: The Party is Ending for Stock Bulls

    Erik Townsend welcomes Jesse Felder to MacroVoices. Erik and Jesse discuss the technicals on the markets, DeMark indicators and the potential turning points in the exhausted trends. They further discuss the VIX short positioning and debate if we are in a secular turn in share buybacks?
  67. Keith McCullough: Tech Rally is Not Over!

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Keith McCullough to MacroVoices. Erik and Keith discuss his outlook on the US Dollar, his views on the reflation trade rolling over and his bullish outlook on the US markets and the Nasdaq. They further discuss bond yields, the Euro and his outlook on the emerging markets.
  68. Axel Merk: Trump reflation trade is dead. Equity market hasn’t noticed yet.

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Axel Merk to MacroVoices. Erik and Axel discuss Europe, ECB policy, UK elections and the future of the European union. They further debate the Trump reflation trade, the U.S. dollar and fiscal/monetary policy. Looking around the globe, the look at the Chinese Yuan devaluation, Japan and the outlook on gold.
  69. Art Berman: Crude Oil Special Part 1

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art put perspective on OPEC, the 9-month extension on production cuts and OPEC’s goal to keep a floor under oil prices. They look at the positioning of oil traders since February and the reasons for lower oil prices.
  70. Art Berman: Crude Oil Special Part 2

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art put perspective on OPEC, the 9-month extension on production cuts and OPEC’s goal to keep a floor under oil prices. They look at the positioning of oil traders since February and the reasons for lower oil prices. This is Part 2 of a 2 Part episode.
  71. Jeffrey Snider: Dollar bulls don’t understand why they are right

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey look at Eurodollars and the Eurodollar shortage. They discuss the real drivers of the US Dollar bull market and the flaws in the reflation trade narrative. The discuss the connection between Eurodollars and gold and the impact of QE on Eurodollar system.
  72. Russell Napier: Buy the Dollar Dip

    Erik Townsend welcomes Professor Russell Napier to MacroVoices. Erik and Russell discuss if the U.S. Dollar bull market over, where we are in the secular treasury bond bull market and the coming pension crisis. They further discuss inflation expectations, the outlook for precious metals and the European exit contagion risk.
  73. Lacy Hunt: The secular bond bull market is not over!

    Erik Townsend welcomes Dr. Lacy Hunt to MacroVoices. Erik and Lacy discuss the important question as to if the secular lows are in for U.S. interest rates. The further discuss the work of Minsky and Kindelberger and ask the important question as if the world is turning Japanese? The further explore the impact of demographics, negative interest rates and the Fed hiking into deteriorating economy.
  74. Steve Keen: On All Things Macro

    Erik Townsend welcomes Steve Keen back to MacroVoices. Erik and Steve discuss the French election, the next move in the Euro and U.S. Dollar. The further discuss the bond bull market and considerations in private debt levels. They further discuss global geopolitics, China and ask if we could avoid another financial crisis.
  75. Martin Armstrong: Stocks could DOUBLE from here!

    Erik Townsend welcomes Martin Armstrong to MacroVoices. Erik and Martin discuss his views on the U.S. Dollar and the future of the European Union. Martin discusses his bullish case for U.S. stocks and considerations for international money flows. They discuss future interest rate trends, government debt, the geopolitics of North Korea and Syria and considerations on China and the debt crisis.
  76. Danielle DiMartino Booth: Fed Up with the Federal Reserve

    Erik Townsend welcomes Danielle DiMartino Booth to MacroVoices. Erik and Danielle discuss a look at the Fed from the inside. They further discuss the shadow banking system, reflect on the global financial crisis and the culture at the regional reserve banks.
  77. Lance Roberts: Record margin debt threatens fed-fueled bull market

    Erik Townsend welcomes Lance Roberts to MacroVoices. Erik and Lance discuss the liquidity driven markets and the Fed balance sheet driving asset prices. They further discuss the margin debt vs. the net credit balance and as a % of real GDP. The further discuss the total system leverage, the economic deficit and peaks in real profit margins.
  78. Juliette Declercq: A Red string of fate ties U.S. to China

    Erik Townsend welcomes Juliette Declercq to MacroVoices. Erik and Juliette discuss the US Dollar, 10-year UST and the FOMC. They reflect on Juliette’s perspectives on the red string of fate ties U.S. to China, future FOMC policy and the current business cycle. They further discuss where is the ISM heading next, the impact on Trump’s tax and infrastructure spending and the potential surprises for the upcoming French election.
  79. Julian Brigden: The “Trump Gap”, the Dollar and Bonds

    Erik Townsend welcomes Julian Brigden back to MacroVoices. Erik and Julian discuss the U.S. Dollars impact on the US shale bubble, the peak acceleration in ISM manufacturing and the risk that headline inflation is peaking. They further discuss if the Fed tightening is going to start to impact data. Julian also points out that the bond shorting opportunity is over and the subsequent risks to the reflationary trades. Also discussed are the wage trends in the U.S., perspectives on European growth and inflation and the relative pricing between U.S. and European bunds.
  80. Jeffrey Christian: Secular BUY call on Gold

    Erik Townsend welcomes Jeffrey Christian back to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeffrey discuss the outlook on the US dollar, Jeff’s secular bullish call on gold and silver and the current demand for physical gold. Jeff further discusses the fundamentals for the platinum, palladium and lithium markets. Further, they wrap things up with Jeff’s macro outlook on the economy, the European Union and outlook for China and Russia.
  81. Jonathan Tepper: The Sea of Excess Liquidity which fueled the rally will soon dry up!

    Erik Townsend welcomes Jonathan Tepper to MacroVoices. Erik and Jonathan discuss the excess liquidity generated by central bank policy and the impact to equities, emerging markets and commodity prices. Jonathan gives further insights on inflation risks and the real end game and runaway inflation. They further discuss the 35-year secular bull market in sovereign bonds and the yield curve. With further comments on Australia, Brazil, China and Japan.
  82. Art Berman: Outlook for Oil for 2017

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss the current catalyst for the decline in oil – the lack of confidence in OPEC. The discuss the record levels of oil inventories, the comparative inventories to past years, the world production surplus, the global liquids consumption growth, the OECD incremental liquids Inventory and the EIA U.S. crude oil forecast.
  83. Grant Williams: The Rise of Populism, Trump Rally, Gold & More

    MacroVoices welcome back Grant Williams to the show. Erik and Grant discuss the growing rise in populism, Trump’s effect on the markets, peak optimism. Grant shares his view on if there is crisis in China, the gold/copper ratio, stagflation, the likely trend of the U.S. dollar and the and asking if the 35-year bond bull market over?
  84. Louis-Vincent Gave: Translating 2016 Events to 2017 Strategies

    Erik Townsend welcomes Louis-Vincent Gave to MacroVoices. Erik and Louis discuss the China reflation trade and asking when Chinese growth will roll over? They further discuss Brexit and the future of the European Union, Philippines and Rodrigo Duterte and the rise of the Chinese empire. It is closed off with the investment themes and risks for 2017.
  85. Jeffrey Snider: Understanding the Global U.S. Dollar Shortage

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeff discuss the Eurodollar money markets, why the world needs so many dollars, the U.S. Dollar and the Dollar funding gap. Jeffrey further debunks the reflation trade, discusses current interest rate trap and the failing global currency system.
  86. Jim Rogers: Macro Outlook in the Trump Era

    Erik Townsend welcomes back Jim Rogers to MacroVoices. Erik and Jim discuss what is in store for the U.S. Equity Markets, the U.S. Dollar, bonds and gold. Further in the discussion they tackle the history of government failures and his views on the global populist movements. They finish off the conversation discussing Jim’s views on the movement to a cashless society and answering if we are moving away from a free society?
  87. Jack Schwager: Trading Futures

    Erik Townsend welcomes Jack Schwager to MacroVoices. Erik and Jack discuss how has futures trading evolved over the last few decades. They discuss technical vs fundamental analysis and the most important rule in technical trading. The conclude with lessons from the Market Wizards books.
  88. David Rosenberg: Opportunities and Outlook for 2017

    Macro Voices interview with David Rosenberg from Gluskin Sheff. David discusses when is it time to become bearish on the markets, US Dollar Outlook, Canadian Dollar and Canadian Monetary Policy, Future of European Union and asking if the 35-year bond bull market over?
  89. Raoul Pal: Inauguration Eve Macro Update

    Erik Townsend interviews Raoul Pal on MacroVoices. The interview with Raoul starts with asking if Trump can reverse the trend of a strong dollar. They look at the bond markets and ask if the secular bull market is over. Later in the interview, Erik and Raoul discuss the overcrowded VIX contango trade, the big opportunities for 2017 and the short-term outlook for gold, oil and junk bonds.
  90. Rick Rule: Deep dive into pre-revenue resource investing process & due diligence

    Erik Townsend interviews Rick Rule from Sprott Global. The interview with Rick starts with the outlook for the precious metals markets in 2017. Erik then proceeds to discuss the due diligence in making private placements in the gold and silver mining companies. Hear Rick’s insights on evaluating intellectual and physical properties and the common characteristics of successful and failed properties. Rick further puts into perspective how much time and capital is needed to invest into early stage startups.
  91. David Hay: The Trump Triumph Trade (TTT) is overdone!

    Evergreek-Gavekal Chief Investment Officer David Hay joins Erik Townsend as this week’s feature interview guest. Topics include the equity market outlook under President Donald Trump, treasury yields, inflation, energy master limited partnerships, and much more.
  92. Holiday Special RVTV Encore: Edward Misrahi

    An interview which was originally published on June 2, 2016, between Raoul Pal of Real Vision and Edward Misrahi, Goldman Sachs alumni and founder of Eton Park.
  93. Erik Townsend: Accredited Investor Academy, Part 4

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan introduce the Accredited Investor Academy Series, Part 4.
  94. Holiday Special RVTV Encore: Paul J. Isaac

    An interview which was originally published on August 2, 2016, between Grant Williams of Real Vision and Paul J. Isaac, CEO and Founder of Arbiter Partners Capital Management.
  95. David Rose: Accredited Investor Academy, Part 3-A

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan introduce the Accredited Investor Academy Series, Part 3A. We’re taking this week off from our regular show format, so instead of a featured interview guest, we’re airing the third of a four-part series about learning to be a sophisticated private investor.
  96. Erik Townsend: Accredited Investor Academy, Part 3

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan introduce the Accredited Investor Academy Series, Part 3.
  97. RVTV Encore: Jawad Mian, Part 1

    An interview which was originally published on April 29, 2016 between Grant Williams of Real Vision and Jawad Mian, Founder and Managing Editor of Stray Reflections, a global macro research and trading advisory with a focus on major investment themes and actionable trade ideas.
  98. Julian Brigden: Inflation, U.S. Dollar, Peak Central Bank Omnipotence, Further PM Weakness, and More

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Julian Brigden to MacroVoices. Erik and Julian discuss waxing and waning of U.S. Dollar cycles driving global crises, potentially materially higher headline inflation and wage numbers in 2017, peak central bank omnipotence, potential for sub-$1,000 and sub-$14 gold and silver prices, impact of U.S. Dollar repatriation on Eurodollar funding, and much more.
  99. Prof. Steve Keen: Macro Outlook Under Donald Trump, Inflation, TSY Yields, and More

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Professor Steve Keen to MacroVoices. Erik and Professor Keen discuss how Trump might be the most Keynesian President since Trump, prospects for a debt jubilee and subsequent credit boom, European Union disintegration making Lehman look like a picnic, last gasps of neoliberalism, and more.
  100. Art Berman: OPEC Production Cut, Crude Oil Outlook

    Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss OPEC's latest production cut agreement and what it means, false conception of cutting production to bring balance to an already-balanced market, how excess oil in storage will suppress prices for some time to come, weak demand growth similar to late-2014 won't support higher prices, OPEC not being as desperate as portrayed by the media, and much more.

MACRO VOICES is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only. The information presented in MACRO VOICES should NOT be construed as investment advice. Always consult a licensed investment professional before making important investment decisions. The opinions expressed on MACRO VOICES are those of the participants. MACRO VOICES, its producers, and hosts Erik Townsend and Nathan Egger shall NOT be liable for losses resulting from investment decisions based on information or viewpoints presented on MACRO VOICES.

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