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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Philip Verleger to MacroVoices. Erik and Philip discuss:

  • IEA’s forecast on shutting down the oil industry
  • What will happen to price action at the wind-down of the industry
  • Perspectives on inflation
  • What would happen if this inflation is not transitory?
  • Carbon sequestration and carbon credits
  • Metals and petroleum – why is China selling metals?
  • ESG and nuclear energy
  • Outlook on oil

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Dr. Philip K. Verleger, Jr., has studied and written about energy markets since 1971. His earliest research, published in 1973, addressed the determinants of gasoline demand. It is still cited today. Since 1971, he has published two books and numerous articles and papers on the evolution of energy markets. Many of these have influenced the thinking about and development of these markets, especially his papers on how energy went from being a monopolized good to a real commodity and the transformation’s consequences.

Dr. Verleger played a critical role in creating the oil futures markets. His most recent research has shown that the crude oil price collapse that began in 2014 shares many characteristics with the subprime housing debacle that precipitated Lehman Brothers’ failure and the Great Recession of 2009. This new research suggests the oil price decline will have very long-lasting and negative implications for much of the energy sector, even if prices rebound periodically.

Dr. Verleger earned his Ph.D. in Economics from MIT in 1971. He began his work on energy as a consultant to the Ford Foundation Energy Policy Project in 1972. He then served as a Senior Staff Economist on President Ford’s Council of Economic Advisers and Director of the Office of Energy Policy at the US Treasury in President Carter’s administration

Dr. Verleger has been a Senior Research Scholar and Lecturer at the School of Organization and Management at Yale University and a Vice President in the Commodities Division at Drexel Burnham Lambert. He is now Owner and President of PKVerleger LLC. From 2008 to 2010, Dr. Verleger served as the David E. Mitchell/EnCana Professor of Management at the University of Calgary’s Haskayne School of Business. From 1985 to 2012, he was affiliated with the Peterson Institute for International Economics, most recently as a Senior Fellow.