About Erik Townsend

hedge fund manager Erik Townsend

Erik Townsend is a retired software entrepreneur turned hedge fund manager. Throughout his career, Erik has capitalized on his ability to understand complex systems and anticipate paradigm shifts far in advance of the mainstream. Read More...

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male silhouette.Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jeff Snider to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeff discuss:

  • The definition and the history of Eurodollar
  • Eurodollar as global reserve currency
  • Who really governs US dollar
  • Interbank borrowing, shadow money and Eurodollar transactions
  • Bretton Woods gold exchange system vs. Eurodollar system
  • How the global economy and the global financial system depend on Eurodollar system
  • The breakdown of Eurodollar system and the Great Global Monetary Crisis
  • The Eurodollar squeeze and its effect on the global system
  • Correlation between the Eurodollar squeeze and the US dollar index

 

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PROFESSOR STEVE KEEN headshotErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Prof. Steve Keen to MacroVoices. Erik and Steve discuss:

  • Benefits of the U.S. losing its reserve currency status
  • International trade and deindustrialization of U.S.
  • U.S. Government budget and trade deficits
  • Possible fiscal crisis and the increase of US Treasury Yields
  • Devaluation of the dollar, imports and inflation shock
  • Risk of global currency to replace the US dollar as the world's reserve currency
  • Consequences of decrease in demand for US dollar
  • Runaway inflation and runaway trade deficit
  • Government spending, current inequality in income tax system
  • Risks and opportunities of MMT

 

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Howe HeadshotErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Neil Howe to MacroVoices. Erik and Neil discuss:

  • Insights from Neil on how the Fourth Turning is unfolding
  • Climax’s at the end of the Fourth Turning
  • Socialism, populism and extremism in politics
  • What is in store for the second half of the fourth turning
  • Current economic expansion is running out of workers
  • Effect of population composition
  • Late-cycle dynamics and real GDP growth trends
  • Correlations of term spreads and consumer confidence
  • Term spreads, credit cycles and volatility
  • Demographic trends for the long-term future

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this interview, as Erik and Neil will refer to it throughout the interview. Registered users here at MacroVoices.com already received the download link in your research roundup e-mail. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

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Get embed code for this episode. | For other embed code options click here | Download the audio MP3 File (60.11 MB) | Download the podcast transcript:   pdf Here (192 KB)

Eric Peters HeadshotErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Eric Peteres to MacroVoices. Erik and Eric discuss:

  • Where are the equity markets heading next?
  • What are the biggest risks in the markets today?
  • Considerations on volatility on FX and interest rates.
  • Will the current trend in Treasury yields continue?
  • How will the next 10 years economically look?
  • Eric Peters perspective on MMT
  • Where are the China/US relations going?
  • Rise of populism around the world
  • Growth of U.S. Isolationism

SPECIAL POST GAME GUEST- Juliette Declercq - Financial Repression ThemeJulietteDeclercqHeadshot 125x

  • Perspective on the Fed pivot
  • What is the trade in this market environment

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David Rosenberg headshot 250Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome David Rosenberg back to MacroVoices. Erik and David discuss:

  • Thoughts on the Fed policy shift
  • Is the market still in a topping formation?
  • Are we in an earnings recession?
  • How low will yields go on Treasury Bonds?
  • Has the MMT crowd discovered something new?
  • Will we see helicopter money during the next downturn?
  • What can go wrong with the implementation of Modern Monetary Theory?
  • Looking back to the Ben Bernanke playbook from 2002
  • What is in store for the corporate bond market?

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this interview, as Erik and David will refer to it throughout the interview. Registered users here at MacroVoices.com already received the download link in your research roundup e-mail. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Free Trial to Breakfast with Dave

The Big Picture Trading Post Game Chart Book

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Arthur Berman largeErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Art Berman back to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss:

  • Oil price collapse was more than a correction
  • World production surplus for 2019-2020
  • Asking if OPEC matters anymore?
  • U.S. Oil production
  • Trends in world liquid production
  • Perspective on the Brent and WTI curves
  • Why is Brent trading at a premium to WTI
  • Increasing short bets on oil
  • Future of U.S. E&P companies
  • Cost of drilling wells

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this interview, and Erik and Art will refer to it throughout the interview. Registered users here at MacroVoices.com already received the download link in your research roundup e-mail. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register.  Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Click here to register for access to supporting materials.


Get embed code for this episode | For other embed code options click here | Download the audio MP3 File (73.53 MB) | Download the podcast transcript:   pdf Here (289 KB)

BarryRitholtzErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Barry Ritholtz to MacroVoices. Erik and Barry discuss:

  • Defining Bull and Bear Markets
  • Bullish case for equities
  • Dollar still the best option
  • Where are interest rates heading?
  • Are junk bonds at risk?
  • China credit risk
  • Trends in populism and socialism
  • Crony Capitalism
  • What could go wrong with MMT?

SPECIAL POST GAME GUEST- Charlie McElligott - Ides of MarchCharles Mcelligott Headshot 125x

Quarterly Op-Ex Seasonality
Extremes in option $Delta (SPX, SPY and QQQ)
Resumption of buyback blackout window
Systematic trend models - sell triggers

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pippa malmgrenErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome back Pippa Malmgren to MacroVoices. Erik and Pippa discuss:

  • Perspective on the U.S./China Trade War
  • Is this about trade or the Korean peninsula?
  • Chinese strategy in the South China Sea
  • The future of Donald Trump
  • China and Russia relations
  • Future of hypersonic warfare
  • Trends in socialism and populism
  • Surveillance Capitalism
  • Outlook for the equity markets

 

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LukeGromenErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome back Luke Gromen to MacroVoices. Erik and Luke discuss:

  • Underlying motives & timing
  • Oil, Petrodollar, and global Treasury Holdings
  • Drivers behind the strong dollar
  • Vicious Cycle in US Balance of Payments
  • Timing the dollar endgame
  • How does the dollar bear market playout?
  • Entitlements and the trends in populism
  • Deflating the debt bubble
  • How does gold play into the story?
  • What are the range of possibilities for the debt crisis?

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SPECIAL POST GAME GUEST-  BRENT JOHNSONBrentJohnsonx125

  • Alternative timeframes for the dollar endgame
  • Why the dollar can continue to rise in the interim 

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Filia HeadshotErik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome back Francesco Filia to MacroVoices. Erik and Francesco discuss:

  • How severe could a bear market be?
  • Complex dynamic systems
  • Short-term crash vs. extended bear market
  • Phase transitions and twin bubbles
  • Tipping points, crash hallmarks and butterflies
  • Why are the risks now?
  • Are treasury bonds going to be the benefactor?
  • How to play the short side of the markets?
  • Populism is the elephant in the room
  • Alternative monetary policy 

Register your free MacroVoices account and get access to the chart book that accompanies the interview.

Click here to register for access to supporting materials.


Get embed code for this episode | For other embed code options click here | Download the audio MP3 File (64.04 MB) | Download the podcast transcript:   pdf Here (181 KB)

MACRO VOICES is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only. The information presented in MACRO VOICES should NOT be construed as investment advice. Always consult a licensed investment professional before making important investment decisions. The opinions expressed on MACRO VOICES are those of the participants. MACRO VOICES, its producers, and hosts Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna shall NOT be liable for losses resulting from investment decisions based on information or viewpoints presented on MACRO VOICES.

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