• MacroVoices Podcast with Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

    MacroVoices Podcast with Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

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  • MacroVoices Podcast with Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

About Erik Townsend

hedge fund manager Erik Townsend

Erik Townsend is a retired software entrepreneur turned hedge fund manager. Throughout his career, Erik has capitalized on his ability to understand complex systems and anticipate paradigm shifts far in advance of the mainstream. Read More...

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Welcome to Macro Voices

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All-Star Jeff Snider and Erik discuss:

  • Why there’s more to the yuan devaluation story that meets the eye (or the mainstream narrative)
  • Comparison to prior devaluations and analysis of true driving forces
  • Why China’s U.S. Treasury holdings are encumbered and selling them doesn have the effects most people assume
  • China’s behind-the-scenes derivatives-based USD “War Chest”
  • Is China really manipulating its currency, and what are the consequences?

Jeff Snider Chartbook August 12 2019 

CNY 7 The Gears Behind the Clockface

The Aid of TIC In Sorting Shorts and Shortages

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All-Star Luke Gromen and Erik discuss:

  • Central Bank Gold Agreement (CBGA) not renewed for first time in 20 years
  • Yet central banks around the world are buying gold hand over fist!
  • Luke’s take on what’s driving this and why it’s so important
  • Fundamental case for gold (review) and is this a good time to buy?

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male silhouette.Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Ronald-Peter Stöferle to MacroVoices. Erik and Ronald discuss:

  • Why gold is an important asset to own
  • Correlation between gold and bond yields
  • Brief history of gold
  • Outlook on the bonds and interest rates
  • Global De-dollarization and sovereign gold holdings
  • What does the momentum of recent gold breakout mean?
  • What effect does monetary policy have on gold
  • Correlation between gold and inflation
  • Why inflation will be a concern for 2H19
  • Gold as equity hedge
  • Importance of understanding the stock to flow ratio for gold

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MVEnergyWeek6This week’s panel: Art Berman, Chris Cook and Patricia Hemsworth

  • Art Berman reviews highlights from the latest EIA STEO released this week
  • Pat Hemsworth on Crack Spreads Gone Wild & Brent/WTI Collapse
  • Chris Cook on Who’s Manipulating Whom in the formative Currency War
  • Market Mayhem! Trade War and collapsing sentiment analysis
  • Fireworks on the Forward Curve – WTI term structure transformation analysis

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this interview, as Erik and the panelists will refer to it throughout the interview. Registered users here at MacroVoices.com already received the download link in your research roundup e-mail. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

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All-Star Brent Johnson and Erik discuss:

  • Why Brent remains convinced the USD has much higher to go
  • The case for gold, and analysis of recent moves in reaction to the Trump China Tweet
  • U.S. Stock market outlook

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All-Star Juliette Declercq and Erik discuss:

  •  The fed needed to take action in response to tightening global Dollar liquidity squeezing the USD higher, which will cause serious problems if not addressed.
  • They had their chance last week, but blew it!
  • In a rare moment of agreement with Donald Trump, Juliette says Powell should be fired!
  • Great graphs and charts support Juliette’s entire narrative
  • Despite these developments, Juliette believes recent dollar strength is still ultimately unsustainable

Juliette Declercq Chartbook August 5 2019 

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male silhouette.This episode of Hot Topic features Dr. Harald Malmgren & Dr. Pippa Malmgren. They discuss: 

  • Why Hal and Pippa disagree on present economic risk factors
  • Pippa’s experience growing up in a house where your Dad directly advises the President of the United States
  • Hal’s experience as a father, watching his daughter grow up to follow in his footsteps as a Presidential advisor
  • Hal’s feelings as a former senior policy advisor about his granddaughter’s generation being the first in American history predicted to live a lower standard of living than he lived himself
  • Why Pippa questions the veracity of the premise that Generation Z will experience a lower standard of living than their grandparents

 

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All-Star Professor Steve Keen and Erik discuss:

  • Why Steve doesn’t expect a U.S. recession
  • Steve’s economic outlook for the rest of the world
  • Why Steve is concerned about the financial sector
  • Will the secular bond bull market reverse or just plateau at sustained near-zero interest rates?

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male silhouette.Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Mark Cudmore to MacroVoices. Erik and Mark discuss:

  • Outlook on global growth and economy
  • US growth outlook
  • US/China trade negotiations
  • Unemployment rates and recession forecast
  • US equity market and its effects on emerging markets
  • Factors that drove the recent rally and the outlook on the next two quarters
  • US treasury market, the yield curve and the US dollar
  • The decline in the US share of global GDP
  • Outlook on the British Pound and the Hong Kong dollar

SPECIAL POST GAME GUEST- Danielle DiMartino-Booth: Follow up on FOMCmale silhouette

  • Is this a midcycle adjustment
  • Will the ECB cut in September
  • What is the next move for Powell

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MVEnergyWeek13This week’s panel: Art Berman, Anas Alhajji and Tracy Shuchart

  • Anas Alhajji on the various proposals on the table for 2020 Election Season
  • Art Berman on whether the popular “cashflow narrative” really explains the sell-off in E&P stocks
  • Tracy Shuchart on the macro backdrop and price outlook
  • EIA’s 8.5mm bbl drawdown doesn’t jibe with increased production and lower exports
  • Form 914 (EIA monthly data for May)
  • Tight oil company valuations with slide deck from Art Berman

 We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this interview, as Erik and the panelists will refer to it throughout the interview. Registered users here at MacroVoices.com already received the download link in your research roundup e-mail. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

Click here to register for access to supporting materials.

Get embed code for this episode. | For other embed code options click here. | Download the  audio MP3 File. (49.93 MB)

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Macro Voices Videos

MACRO VOICES is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only. The information presented in MACRO VOICES should NOT be construed as investment advice. Always consult a licensed investment professional before making important investment decisions. The opinions expressed on MACRO VOICES are those of the participants. MACRO VOICES, its producers, and hosts Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna shall NOT be liable for losses resulting from investment decisions based on information or viewpoints presented on MACRO VOICES.

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